Maxwell Week 7 Projections
Article and photos courtesy of the Atlanta Journal-Constitution –> Original Article Here
Each game is listed showing the game rate, favorite, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, the projected margin, and the opponent.
The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents.
All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.
The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.
Visit the Maxwell Ratings for more ratings and information, including Maxwell’s Georgia High School Football Archive.
Sep 29
Game Rate | Class | Favorite | Percent | Margin | Opponent | Class |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
41.89 | AAA | Westside (Macon) | 61.8% | 5 | Jackson | AAA |
41.38 | AAAA | Hardaway | 65.9% | 7 | Westover | AAAA |
37.35 | A – Private | Savannah Christian | 56.9% | 3 | McIntosh County Academy | A – Public |
20.89 | AAA | Kendrick | 50.2% | 0 | Rutland | AAA |
12.64 | AAA | Southeast Bulloch | 88.9% | 21 | Windsor Forest | AAA |
Sep 30
Game Rate | Class | Favorite | Percent | Margin | Opponent | Class |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
75.49 | AAAAAAA | Norcross | 76.2% | 12 | Parkview | AAAAAAA |
74.15 | AAAAAAA | Mill Creek | 89.0% | 21 | North Gwinnett | AAAAAAA |
71.52 | AAAAAAA | Lowndes | 67.7% | 8 | Ware County | AAAAA |
67.02 | AA | Fitzgerald | 50.6% | 1 | Tift County | AAAAAAA |
66.83 | AAAAAAA | South Gwinnett | 65.8% | 7 | Newton | AAAAAAA |
66.30 | AAAAAA | Northgate | 62.2% | 5 | Alexander | AAAAAA |
65.75 | AAAAA | Carrollton | 57.4% | 3 | Rome | AAAAA |
64.67 | AAAAAA | Hughes | 65.4% | 7 | Creekside | AAAAAA |
61.84 | AAAAAAA | Roswell | 97.6% | 35 | Milton | AAAAAAA |
59.75 | AAAAAAA | Etowah | 80.3% | 14 | Cherokee | AAAAAAA |
57.74 | AAAA | Spalding | 61.0% | 5 | Mary Persons | AAAA |
57.31 | AAAAAA | Dalton | 79.5% | 14 | Creekview | AAAAAA |
56.60 | AAAA | Marist | 56.0% | 3 | Gainesville | AAAAAA |
54.79 | AAAAA | Griffin | 83.8% | 17 | Starr’s Mill | AAAAA |
53.54 | A – Private | Eagle’s Landing Christian | 76.4% | 12 | Wesleyan | A – Private |
53.40 | AA | Brooks County | 75.6% | 11 | Crisp County | AAA |
53.19 | AAAAAA | Effingham County | 59.1% | 4 | Liberty County | AAA |
53.11 | AAAAA | Stockbridge | 90.3% | 22 | Locust Grove | AAAAA |
52.90 | AAAAAA | Northside (Warner Robins) | 95.1% | 29 | Macon County | A – Public |
52.14 | AAAAAA | Coffee | 81.3% | 15 | Warner Robins | AAAAA |
50.88 | AAAAAA | Johns Creek | 75.0% | 11 | Cambridge | AAAAAA |
49.19 | AAAAA | Buford | 97.6% | 35 | Clarke Central | AAAAA |
49.18 | AAAAA | Kell | 92.6% | 25 | East Paulding | AAAAA |
48.23 | AAAA | Sandy Creek | 92.9% | 26 | Troup | AAAA |
46.67 | AAAAA | Dutchtown | 68.8% | 8 | Eagle’s Landing | AAAAA |
46.34 | AAAA | Jefferson | 85.5% | 18 | Madison County | AAAA |
45.40 | AAAAAA | Tucker | 96.4% | 32 | Mundy’s Mill | AAAAAA |
45.39 | AAAAA | Paulding County | 69.0% | 8 | Villa Rica | AAAAA |
44.17 | AAAA | LaGrange | 64.3% | 6 | Cedartown | AAAA |
43.98 | AAAAA | Woodland (Stockbridge) | 89.9% | 22 | Ola | AAAAA |
43.72 | AAAAA | Riverdale | 66.2% | 7 | Fayette County | AAAAA |
43.53 | AAAAAA | Douglas County | 82.2% | 15 | New Manchester | AAAAAA |
42.92 | AAAAA | Harris County | 62.9% | 6 | Worth County | AAA |
42.14 | AAAAAA | Drew | 64.3% | 6 | M.L. King | AAAAAA |
41.30 | AAAAAA | Stephenson | 86.6% | 19 | Jonesboro | AAAAAA |
40.97 | AAAAAAA | Central Gwinnett | 86.9% | 19 | Lakeside (Atlanta) | AAAAAAA |
40.70 | A – Private | Pinecrest Academy | 50.1% | 0 | Mount Paran Christian | A – Private |
40.28 | AAAAAA | Mays | 97.1% | 33 | Tri-Cities | AAAAAA |
39.92 | AAAAAA | Centennial | 87.3% | 19 | Chattahoochee | AAAAAA |
39.76 | AA | Model | 81.0% | 15 | Pepperell | AA |
39.74 | AAAA | Cairo | 88.3% | 20 | Americus-Sumter | AAAA |
38.90 | AAAA | Luella | 56.1% | 3 | Salem | AAAA |
38.79 | AAA | North Hall | 56.1% | 3 | Dawson County | AAA |
38.59 | AAAAAA | Glynn Academy | 97.0% | 33 | Wayne County | AAAAA |
38.48 | AAAAA | Flowery Branch | 56.3% | 3 | Cedar Shoals | AAAAA |
36.94 | A – Private | First Presbyterian | 59.6% | 4 | Twiggs County | A – Public |
36.56 | AAAA | Northside (Columbus) | 50.8% | 1 | Columbus | AAAA |
36.54 | A – Private | Darlington | 81.1% | 15 | Mount Zion (Carroll) | A – Public |
36.02 | AAAAAAA | Grayson | 99.6% | 41 | Rockdale County | AAAAAAA |
35.87 | A – Private | Prince Avenue Christian | 84.6% | 17 | Commerce | A – Public |
35.39 | AAA | Sonoraville | 70.7% | 9 | Bremen | AAA |
35.04 | AAA | Central (Macon) | 72.0% | 10 | Pike County | AAA |
33.41 | AAAAAA | Lovejoy | 93.2% | 26 | Mount Zion (Jonesboro) | AAAAAA |
33.14 | AAAAAA | Grovetown | 53.3% | 2 | Alcovy | AAAAAA |
32.39 | AAA | Hart County | 78.4% | 13 | Franklin County | AAA |
32.32 | AAAAAA | Richmond Hill | 88.8% | 21 | South Effingham | AAAAA |
32.12 | AAAA | Carver (Columbus) | 84.5% | 17 | Shaw | AAAA |
31.82 | AAAA | West Laurens | 85.1% | 17 | Howard | AAAA |
31.64 | A – Public | Irwin County | 76.9% | 12 | Charlton County | A – Public |
31.48 | AAAAAA | Sequoyah | 87.1% | 19 | River Ridge | AAAAAA |
30.70 | AAAAAAA | Mountain View | 95.5% | 30 | Duluth | AAAAAAA |
30.08 | AAAAAA | Northview | 74.9% | 11 | Dunwoody | AAAAAA |
29.42 | AAAA | Cartersville | 99.6% | 41 | Central (Carrollton) | AAAA |
28.12 | A – Public | Bowdon | 78.3% | 13 | Gordon Lee | A – Public |
28.03 | AAAAAAA | Collins Hill | 91.6% | 24 | Discovery | AAAAAAA |
27.38 | AA | Rockmart | 55.5% | 3 | Chattooga | AA |
27.27 | AAAAA | Riverwood | 82.1% | 15 | Decatur | AAAAA |
27.10 | AAAA | White County | 55.8% | 3 | Lumpkin County | AAA |
26.70 | AAA | Union County | 69.4% | 8 | East Hall | AAA |
26.38 | AAAAA | North Springs | 52.0% | 1 | Maynard Jackson | AAAAA |
26.29 | A – Public | Lincoln County | 78.4% | 13 | Washington-Wilkes | A – Public |
26.00 | A – Public | Greene County | 55.3% | 2 | Warren County | A – Public |
25.77 | AAAAAA | Alpharetta | 96.6% | 32 | North Atlanta | AAAAAA |
25.65 | A – Private | Aquinas | 84.9% | 17 | Hancock Central | A – Public |
25.62 | AAAAA | Statesboro | 78.2% | 13 | Tattnall County | AAA |
25.48 | AA | B.E.S.T. Academy | 60.5% | 5 | Therrell | AA |
25.37 | AAAAAA | Lakeside (Evans) | 81.5% | 15 | Bradwell Institute | AAAAAA |
24.98 | A – Private | Landmark Christian | 90.7% | 23 | Our Lady of Mercy | A – Private |
24.74 | AAA | Cook | 92.3% | 25 | Early County | AA |
23.98 | AA | Benedictine | 99.3% | 40 | Bryan County | AA |
23.14 | AAAA | Woodward Academy | 99.2% | 40 | Henry County | AAAA |
22.81 | AAAA | Perry | 80.6% | 14 | Dougherty | AAA |
22.78 | AAAAAA | Winder-Barrow | 89.3% | 21 | Apalachee | AAAAAA |
22.72 | AA | Vidalia | 91.5% | 24 | Bacon County | AA |
22.49 | AA | Dodge County | 83.0% | 16 | Northeast | AA |
21.98 | AAAA | Heritage (Ringgold) | 69.7% | 9 | Southeast Whitfield | AAAA |
21.40 | A – Public | Clinch County | 95.7% | 30 | Atkinson County | A – Public |
21.32 | AAA | North Murray | 60.8% | 5 | Murray County | AAA |
21.20 | A – Public | Taylor County | 59.4% | 4 | Crawford County | A – Public |
21.20 | AA | Swainsboro | 53.2% | 2 | Metter | AA |
21.13 | AAAAA | Banneker | 85.7% | 18 | Lithia Springs | AAAAA |
20.53 | A – Private | Stratford Academy | 91.0% | 23 | Mount de Sales | A – Private |
19.81 | AA | K.I.P.P. Atlanta Collegiate | 73.5% | 10 | South Atlanta | AA |
19.04 | A – Private | Holy Innocents | 65.9% | 7 | Mount Vernon Presbyterian | A – Private |
18.93 | AAAAA | Jones County | 98.5% | 38 | Hampton | AAAAA |
18.05 | AA | Toombs County | 83.5% | 16 | Jeff Davis | AA |
17.49 | AAA | Greater Atlanta Christian | 99.6% | 41 | Fannin County | AAA |
16.95 | AAA | Jackson County | 61.4% | 5 | Monroe Area | AAA |
16.93 | AAAAAAA | Berkmar | 57.8% | 3 | Meadowcreek | AAAAAAA |
16.82 | AA | Rabun County | 98.4% | 37 | Banks County | AA |
16.53 | A – Private | Fellowship Christian | 91.3% | 23 | Walker | A – Private |
16.50 | AAAAA | Hiram | 96.2% | 31 | Woodland (Cartersville) | AAAAA |
16.44 | A – Private | Tattnall Square | 89.4% | 21 | Wilkinson County | A – Public |
15.33 | AAAAA | Whitewater | 93.5% | 26 | Morrow | AAAAA |
15.30 | AAAA | Pickens | 91.6% | 24 | Gilmer | AAAA |
12.83 | A – Public | Jenkins County | 64.8% | 6 | Treutlen | A – Public |
12.22 | AA | Screven County | 95.6% | 30 | Harlem | AA |
11.79 | A – Public | Trion | 84.6% | 17 | Christian Heritage | A – Private |
11.53 | A – Public | Telfair County | 77.9% | 13 | Wilcox County | A – Public |
11.26 | AA | Washington County | 97.1% | 33 | East Laurens | AA |
11.23 | AA | Butler | 62.9% | 6 | Josey | AA |
8.80 | AAA | Morgan County | 94.7% | 28 | East Jackson | AAA |
8.77 | AAAA | Northwest Whitfield | 97.3% | 34 | LaFayette | AAAA |
8.74 | A – Private | Mount Pisgah Christian | 93.7% | 27 | King’s Ridge Christian | A – Private |
8.51 | A – Public | Pelham | 81.9% | 15 | Chattahoochee County | A – Public |
8.19 | AA | Dublin | 96.3% | 32 | Bleckley County | AA |
8.14 | A – Public | Marion County | 91.5% | 24 | Greenville | A – Public |
8.14 | AA | Jefferson County | 99.0% | 39 | Glenn Hills | AA |
7.72 | AAAAAAA | Camden County | 99.6% | 41 | Forest Park | AAAAAA |
6.96 | A – Private | Hebron Christian Academy | 70.6% | 9 | Towns County | A – Public |
6.01 | A – Private | Brookstone | 90.7% | 23 | Pacelli | A – Private |
5.96 | A – Public | Johnson County | 87.0% | 19 | Wheeler County | A – Public |
5.81 | A – Public | Turner County | 94.7% | 28 | Lanier County | A – Public |
5.75 | AA | Temple | 70.6% | 9 | Georgia Military College | A – Other |
4.56 | AAAAA | Walnut Grove | 88.2% | 20 | Johnson (Gainesville) | AAAAA |
3.66 | AA | Elbert County | 98.5% | 38 | Social Circle | AA |
2.46 | AAA | Calhoun | 99.7% | 41 | Haralson County | AAA |
1.46 | AAA | Beach | 54.3% | 2 | Groves | AAA |
1.26 | A – Private | St. Francis | 59.9% | 4 | Whitefield Academy | A – Private |
1.11 | A – Private | Calvary Day | 99.1% | 40 | Claxton | A – Public |
0.58 | AA | Laney | 96.7% | 32 | Westside (Augusta) | AA |
-0.48 | A – Private | Savannah Country Day | 92.2% | 25 | Portal | A – Public |
-0.98 | A – Private | Athens Christian | 96.7% | 33 | Lakeview Academy | A – Private |
-3.00 | A – Private | Athens Academy | 97.9% | 36 | Riverside Military Academy | A – Private |
-3.09 | AA | Coosa | 85.4% | 18 | Armuchee | AA |
-4.50 | A – Public | Miller County | 88.2% | 20 | Calhoun County | A – Public |
-5.56 | AA | Putnam County | 91.0% | 23 | Oglethorpe County | AA |
-5.86 | AAAA | Cross Creek | 93.1% | 26 | Hephzibah | AAAA |
-7.12 | A – Public | Manchester | 99.6% | 41 | Central (Talbotton) | A – Public |
-8.09 | A – Public | Emanuel County Institute | 99.4% | 40 | Montgomery County | A – Public |
-12.43 | A – Public | Terrell County | 95.2% | 29 | Baconton Charter | A – Public |
-14.27 | A – Private | George Walton Academy | 97.6% | 35 | Providence Christian | A – Private |
-15.29 | AA | Dade County | 95.5% | 30 | Gordon Central | AA |
-17.12 | AAAA | Thomson | 100.0% | 42 | Clarkston | AAAAA |
-18.55 | AAA | Ringgold | 99.3% | 40 | Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe | AAA |
-25.70 | A – Private | Strong Rock Christian | 96.8% | 33 | Fulton Leadership Academy | A – Public |
-46.56 | AAAAA | Cross Keys | 89.1% | 21 | Pataula Charter | A – Other |
Oct 01
Game Rate | Class | Favorite | Percent | Margin | Opponent | Class |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
57.14 | AAAAA | Grady | 63.8% | 6 | Carver (Atlanta) | AAAAA |
28.61 | AA | Washington | 55.8% | 3 | Douglass | AA |
24.96 | AAAA | Eastside | 94.8% | 29 | Druid Hills | AAAA |
23.29 | A – Public | Mitchell County | 68.1% | 8 | Randolph-Clay | A – Public |
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