Maxwell Week 7 Projections

Article and photos courtesy of the Atlanta Journal-Constitution –> Original Article Here

Each game is listed showing the game rate, favorite, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, the projected margin, and the opponent.

The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Visit the Maxwell Ratings for more ratings and information, including Maxwell’s Georgia High School Football Archive.

Sep 29

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
41.89 AAA Westside (Macon) 61.8% 5 Jackson AAA
41.38 AAAA Hardaway 65.9% 7 Westover AAAA
37.35 A – Private Savannah Christian 56.9% 3 McIntosh County Academy A – Public
20.89 AAA Kendrick 50.2% 0 Rutland AAA
12.64 AAA Southeast Bulloch 88.9% 21 Windsor Forest AAA

Sep 30

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
75.49 AAAAAAA Norcross 76.2% 12 Parkview AAAAAAA
74.15 AAAAAAA Mill Creek 89.0% 21 North Gwinnett AAAAAAA
71.52 AAAAAAA Lowndes 67.7% 8 Ware County AAAAA
67.02 AA Fitzgerald 50.6% 1 Tift County AAAAAAA
66.83 AAAAAAA South Gwinnett 65.8% 7 Newton AAAAAAA
66.30 AAAAAA Northgate 62.2% 5 Alexander AAAAAA
65.75 AAAAA Carrollton 57.4% 3 Rome AAAAA
64.67 AAAAAA Hughes 65.4% 7 Creekside AAAAAA
61.84 AAAAAAA Roswell 97.6% 35 Milton AAAAAAA
59.75 AAAAAAA Etowah 80.3% 14 Cherokee AAAAAAA
57.74 AAAA Spalding 61.0% 5 Mary Persons AAAA
57.31 AAAAAA Dalton 79.5% 14 Creekview AAAAAA
56.60 AAAA Marist 56.0% 3 Gainesville AAAAAA
54.79 AAAAA Griffin 83.8% 17 Starr’s Mill AAAAA
53.54 A – Private Eagle’s Landing Christian 76.4% 12 Wesleyan A – Private
53.40 AA Brooks County 75.6% 11 Crisp County AAA
53.19 AAAAAA Effingham County 59.1% 4 Liberty County AAA
53.11 AAAAA Stockbridge 90.3% 22 Locust Grove AAAAA
52.90 AAAAAA Northside (Warner Robins) 95.1% 29 Macon County A – Public
52.14 AAAAAA Coffee 81.3% 15 Warner Robins AAAAA
50.88 AAAAAA Johns Creek 75.0% 11 Cambridge AAAAAA
49.19 AAAAA Buford 97.6% 35 Clarke Central AAAAA
49.18 AAAAA Kell 92.6% 25 East Paulding AAAAA
48.23 AAAA Sandy Creek 92.9% 26 Troup AAAA
46.67 AAAAA Dutchtown 68.8% 8 Eagle’s Landing AAAAA
46.34 AAAA Jefferson 85.5% 18 Madison County AAAA
45.40 AAAAAA Tucker 96.4% 32 Mundy’s Mill AAAAAA
45.39 AAAAA Paulding County 69.0% 8 Villa Rica AAAAA
44.17 AAAA LaGrange 64.3% 6 Cedartown AAAA
43.98 AAAAA Woodland (Stockbridge) 89.9% 22 Ola AAAAA
43.72 AAAAA Riverdale 66.2% 7 Fayette County AAAAA
43.53 AAAAAA Douglas County 82.2% 15 New Manchester AAAAAA
42.92 AAAAA Harris County 62.9% 6 Worth County AAA
42.14 AAAAAA Drew 64.3% 6 M.L. King AAAAAA
41.30 AAAAAA Stephenson 86.6% 19 Jonesboro AAAAAA
40.97 AAAAAAA Central Gwinnett 86.9% 19 Lakeside (Atlanta) AAAAAAA
40.70 A – Private Pinecrest Academy 50.1% 0 Mount Paran Christian A – Private
40.28 AAAAAA Mays 97.1% 33 Tri-Cities AAAAAA
39.92 AAAAAA Centennial 87.3% 19 Chattahoochee AAAAAA
39.76 AA Model 81.0% 15 Pepperell AA
39.74 AAAA Cairo 88.3% 20 Americus-Sumter AAAA
38.90 AAAA Luella 56.1% 3 Salem AAAA
38.79 AAA North Hall 56.1% 3 Dawson County AAA
38.59 AAAAAA Glynn Academy 97.0% 33 Wayne County AAAAA
38.48 AAAAA Flowery Branch 56.3% 3 Cedar Shoals AAAAA
36.94 A – Private First Presbyterian 59.6% 4 Twiggs County A – Public
36.56 AAAA Northside (Columbus) 50.8% 1 Columbus AAAA
36.54 A – Private Darlington 81.1% 15 Mount Zion (Carroll) A – Public
36.02 AAAAAAA Grayson 99.6% 41 Rockdale County AAAAAAA
35.87 A – Private Prince Avenue Christian 84.6% 17 Commerce A – Public
35.39 AAA Sonoraville 70.7% 9 Bremen AAA
35.04 AAA Central (Macon) 72.0% 10 Pike County AAA
33.41 AAAAAA Lovejoy 93.2% 26 Mount Zion (Jonesboro) AAAAAA
33.14 AAAAAA Grovetown 53.3% 2 Alcovy AAAAAA
32.39 AAA Hart County 78.4% 13 Franklin County AAA
32.32 AAAAAA Richmond Hill 88.8% 21 South Effingham AAAAA
32.12 AAAA Carver (Columbus) 84.5% 17 Shaw AAAA
31.82 AAAA West Laurens 85.1% 17 Howard AAAA
31.64 A – Public Irwin County 76.9% 12 Charlton County A – Public
31.48 AAAAAA Sequoyah 87.1% 19 River Ridge AAAAAA
30.70 AAAAAAA Mountain View 95.5% 30 Duluth AAAAAAA
30.08 AAAAAA Northview 74.9% 11 Dunwoody AAAAAA
29.42 AAAA Cartersville 99.6% 41 Central (Carrollton) AAAA
28.12 A – Public Bowdon 78.3% 13 Gordon Lee A – Public
28.03 AAAAAAA Collins Hill 91.6% 24 Discovery AAAAAAA
27.38 AA Rockmart 55.5% 3 Chattooga AA
27.27 AAAAA Riverwood 82.1% 15 Decatur AAAAA
27.10 AAAA White County 55.8% 3 Lumpkin County AAA
26.70 AAA Union County 69.4% 8 East Hall AAA
26.38 AAAAA North Springs 52.0% 1 Maynard Jackson AAAAA
26.29 A – Public Lincoln County 78.4% 13 Washington-Wilkes A – Public
26.00 A – Public Greene County 55.3% 2 Warren County A – Public
25.77 AAAAAA Alpharetta 96.6% 32 North Atlanta AAAAAA
25.65 A – Private Aquinas 84.9% 17 Hancock Central A – Public
25.62 AAAAA Statesboro 78.2% 13 Tattnall County AAA
25.48 AA B.E.S.T. Academy 60.5% 5 Therrell AA
25.37 AAAAAA Lakeside (Evans) 81.5% 15 Bradwell Institute AAAAAA
24.98 A – Private Landmark Christian 90.7% 23 Our Lady of Mercy A – Private
24.74 AAA Cook 92.3% 25 Early County AA
23.98 AA Benedictine 99.3% 40 Bryan County AA
23.14 AAAA Woodward Academy 99.2% 40 Henry County AAAA
22.81 AAAA Perry 80.6% 14 Dougherty AAA
22.78 AAAAAA Winder-Barrow 89.3% 21 Apalachee AAAAAA
22.72 AA Vidalia 91.5% 24 Bacon County AA
22.49 AA Dodge County 83.0% 16 Northeast AA
21.98 AAAA Heritage (Ringgold) 69.7% 9 Southeast Whitfield AAAA
21.40 A – Public Clinch County 95.7% 30 Atkinson County A – Public
21.32 AAA North Murray 60.8% 5 Murray County AAA
21.20 A – Public Taylor County 59.4% 4 Crawford County A – Public
21.20 AA Swainsboro 53.2% 2 Metter AA
21.13 AAAAA Banneker 85.7% 18 Lithia Springs AAAAA
20.53 A – Private Stratford Academy 91.0% 23 Mount de Sales A – Private
19.81 AA K.I.P.P. Atlanta Collegiate 73.5% 10 South Atlanta AA
19.04 A – Private Holy Innocents 65.9% 7 Mount Vernon Presbyterian A – Private
18.93 AAAAA Jones County 98.5% 38 Hampton AAAAA
18.05 AA Toombs County 83.5% 16 Jeff Davis AA
17.49 AAA Greater Atlanta Christian 99.6% 41 Fannin County AAA
16.95 AAA Jackson County 61.4% 5 Monroe Area AAA
16.93 AAAAAAA Berkmar 57.8% 3 Meadowcreek AAAAAAA
16.82 AA Rabun County 98.4% 37 Banks County AA
16.53 A – Private Fellowship Christian 91.3% 23 Walker A – Private
16.50 AAAAA Hiram 96.2% 31 Woodland (Cartersville) AAAAA
16.44 A – Private Tattnall Square 89.4% 21 Wilkinson County A – Public
15.33 AAAAA Whitewater 93.5% 26 Morrow AAAAA
15.30 AAAA Pickens 91.6% 24 Gilmer AAAA
12.83 A – Public Jenkins County 64.8% 6 Treutlen A – Public
12.22 AA Screven County 95.6% 30 Harlem AA
11.79 A – Public Trion 84.6% 17 Christian Heritage A – Private
11.53 A – Public Telfair County 77.9% 13 Wilcox County A – Public
11.26 AA Washington County 97.1% 33 East Laurens AA
11.23 AA Butler 62.9% 6 Josey AA
8.80 AAA Morgan County 94.7% 28 East Jackson AAA
8.77 AAAA Northwest Whitfield 97.3% 34 LaFayette AAAA
8.74 A – Private Mount Pisgah Christian 93.7% 27 King’s Ridge Christian A – Private
8.51 A – Public Pelham 81.9% 15 Chattahoochee County A – Public
8.19 AA Dublin 96.3% 32 Bleckley County AA
8.14 A – Public Marion County 91.5% 24 Greenville A – Public
8.14 AA Jefferson County 99.0% 39 Glenn Hills AA
7.72 AAAAAAA Camden County 99.6% 41 Forest Park AAAAAA
6.96 A – Private Hebron Christian Academy 70.6% 9 Towns County A – Public
6.01 A – Private Brookstone 90.7% 23 Pacelli A – Private
5.96 A – Public Johnson County 87.0% 19 Wheeler County A – Public
5.81 A – Public Turner County 94.7% 28 Lanier County A – Public
5.75 AA Temple 70.6% 9 Georgia Military College A – Other
4.56 AAAAA Walnut Grove 88.2% 20 Johnson (Gainesville) AAAAA
3.66 AA Elbert County 98.5% 38 Social Circle AA
2.46 AAA Calhoun 99.7% 41 Haralson County AAA
1.46 AAA Beach 54.3% 2 Groves AAA
1.26 A – Private St. Francis 59.9% 4 Whitefield Academy A – Private
1.11 A – Private Calvary Day 99.1% 40 Claxton A – Public
0.58 AA Laney 96.7% 32 Westside (Augusta) AA
-0.48 A – Private Savannah Country Day 92.2% 25 Portal A – Public
-0.98 A – Private Athens Christian 96.7% 33 Lakeview Academy A – Private
-3.00 A – Private Athens Academy 97.9% 36 Riverside Military Academy A – Private
-3.09 AA Coosa 85.4% 18 Armuchee AA
-4.50 A – Public Miller County 88.2% 20 Calhoun County A – Public
-5.56 AA Putnam County 91.0% 23 Oglethorpe County AA
-5.86 AAAA Cross Creek 93.1% 26 Hephzibah AAAA
-7.12 A – Public Manchester 99.6% 41 Central (Talbotton) A – Public
-8.09 A – Public Emanuel County Institute 99.4% 40 Montgomery County A – Public
-12.43 A – Public Terrell County 95.2% 29 Baconton Charter A – Public
-14.27 A – Private George Walton Academy 97.6% 35 Providence Christian A – Private
-15.29 AA Dade County 95.5% 30 Gordon Central AA
-17.12 AAAA Thomson 100.0% 42 Clarkston AAAAA
-18.55 AAA Ringgold 99.3% 40 Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe AAA
-25.70 A – Private Strong Rock Christian 96.8% 33 Fulton Leadership Academy A – Public
-46.56 AAAAA Cross Keys 89.1% 21 Pataula Charter A – Other

Oct 01

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
57.14 AAAAA Grady 63.8% 6 Carver (Atlanta) AAAAA
28.61 AA Washington 55.8% 3 Douglass AA
24.96 AAAA Eastside 94.8% 29 Druid Hills AAAA
23.29 A – Public Mitchell County 68.1% 8 Randolph-Clay A – Public
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