Maxwell Week 2 Projections

Article and photos courtesy of the Atlanta Journal-Constitution –> Original Article Here

Each game is listed showing the game rate, favorite, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, the projected margin, and the opponent.

The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Visit the Maxwell Ratings for more ratings and information, including Maxwell’s Georgia High School Football Archive.

Aug 25

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
32.61 AAAAA McIntosh 75.4% 11 Mount Zion (Jonesboro) AAAAAA
8.76 A – Public Johnson County 86.9% 19 East Laurens AA

Aug 26

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
79.95 AAAAAAA Archer 56.3% 3 Peachtree Ridge AAAAAAA
68.92 AAAAAAA Etowah 51.6% 1 North Cobb AAAAAAA
67.07 AAAAAA Hughes 50.6% 1 Westlake AAAAAAA
67.01 AAAAAAA Brookwood 63.1% 6 Walton AAAAAAA
66.54 AAAAAAA Norcross 81.1% 15 Collins Hill AAAAAAA
66.05 AAA Calhoun 64.2% 6 Dalton AAAAAA
65.78 AAAAAAA Shiloh 51.2% 1 Parkview AAAAAAA
64.52 AAAAAAA North Gwinnett 53.1% 2 Milton AAAAAAA
64.07 AAAAAAA South Gwinnett 66.6% 7 Lanier AAAAAA
63.69 AAAAA Ware County 76.9% 12 Glynn Academy AAAAAA
63.50 AAAAAA Lee County 71.6% 9 Bainbridge AAAAA
63.37 AAAAAA Dacula 78.3% 13 Central Gwinnett AAAAAAA
61.92 AAA Greater Atlanta Christian 72.1% 10 Westminster (Atlanta) AAA
61.33 AAAAAAA Mill Creek 97.1% 34 Stephenson AAAAAA
60.63 AAAAAA South Paulding 58.1% 4 North Paulding AAAAAAA
59.82 AAAAAA Allatoona 81.7% 15 Alexander AAAAAA
57.82 AAAAAA Gainesville 61.6% 5 Alpharetta AAAAAA
57.32 AAAAAA Harrison 68.5% 8 Rome AAAAA
57.24 AAAAA Starr’s Mill 56.6% 3 Newnan AAAAAAA
57.21 AAAA Marist 79.3% 14 Lovett AAA
56.37 AAAAAA Houston County 80.2% 14 Peach County AAA
53.03 AAAAAAA Lambert 62.6% 5 Mountain View AAAAAAA
52.61 AAAA Thomson 70.8% 9 Effingham County AAAAAA
52.35 AAAAAAA West Forsyth 75.4% 11 Pace Academy AAA
52.02 AAAAAA Coffee 87.1% 19 Brunswick AAAAAA
51.66 AAAAAA Valdosta 95.6% 30 Woodland (Stockbridge) AAAAA
50.98 AAAAAA Lovejoy 67.1% 7 Mundy’s Mill AAAAAA
50.94 AAAA Blessed Trinity 90.8% 23 Marietta AAAAAAA
50.93 AAAAAA Creekview 64.2% 6 Cambridge AAAAAA
50.11 AAAA Jefferson 83.1% 16 Riverwood AAAAA
49.77 AAAA West Laurens 53.8% 2 Wayne County AAAAA
49.75 AAAAAAA Newton 87.9% 20 Eastside AAAA
49.33 AAAAA Griffin 68.9% 8 Spalding AAAA
48.96 AAAAA Jones County 79.3% 14 Washington County AA
48.69 AAAAA Warner Robins 66.1% 7 Locust Grove AAAAA
48.64 AA Jefferson County 57.1% 3 Lakeside (Evans) AAAAAA
48.39 AAAA Woodward Academy 93.8% 27 Grady AAAAA
48.09 AAAAAAA Wheeler 82.0% 15 Centennial AAAAAA
47.90 AAAA Mary Persons 73.8% 11 Jackson AAA
47.90 AA Fitzgerald 83.6% 16 Irwin County A – Public
47.46 AAAAAA New Manchester 59.8% 4 Paulding County AAAAA
46.73 AAAAAAA Tift County 90.9% 23 Cook AAA
45.72 AAAAA Clarke Central 63.4% 6 Oconee County AAAA
45.28 AAAAAAA Cherokee 74.5% 11 Sequoyah AAAAAA
44.51 AAA Cedar Grove 89.9% 22 Southwest DeKalb AAAAA
42.97 AAAAA Villa Rica 70.0% 9 LaGrange AAAA
42.68 A – Private Aquinas 57.2% 3 Laney AA
42.50 AA Vidalia 77.7% 13 Appling County AAA
40.90 AAAA Burke County 84.8% 17 Statesboro AAAAA
40.82 AAAAAAA North Forsyth 67.6% 8 Johns Creek AAAAAA
40.44 AAAAA Cass 64.3% 6 Adairsville AAA
40.09 AAAAA Dutchtown 77.3% 12 Ola AAAAA
39.42 AA Rabun County 68.8% 8 Mount Pisgah Christian A – Private
39.05 AAAA Upson-Lee 73.2% 10 Shaw AAAA
37.69 A – Private Eagle’s Landing Christian 93.1% 26 Jonesboro AAAAAA
37.67 AAAAA Flowery Branch 78.3% 13 North Hall AAA
37.27 AAAA North Oconee 72.3% 10 Grovetown AAAAAA
36.60 AAAAA Thomas County Central 90.7% 23 Thomasville AA
36.05 AAAAA Veterans 76.3% 12 Dublin AA
35.54 AAAAAA Drew 90.7% 23 Riverdale AAAAA
35.43 AAAAAAA Lassiter 90.3% 22 Pope AAAAAA
35.13 AAAAAAA Rockdale County 67.4% 7 Chattahoochee AAAAAA
35.13 AAA Crisp County 74.5% 11 Americus-Sumter AAAA
35.08 AAAAA Fayette County 61.3% 5 Chapel Hill AAAA
34.79 AAAAAA Richmond Hill 68.5% 8 Southeast Bulloch AAA
33.93 AAAA Stephens County 80.1% 14 Franklin County AAA
33.86 A – Public Clinch County 80.0% 14 McIntosh County Academy A – Public
33.50 AAAA Ridgeland 74.4% 11 Pepperell AA
33.49 AAA Worth County 82.1% 15 Turner County A – Public
33.26 AAAAAAA South Forsyth 93.8% 27 Pinecrest Academy A – Private
33.18 AAAAAAA Forsyth Central 59.3% 4 Dawson County AAA
33.11 AAAAA Whitewater 72.6% 10 Union Grove AAAAA
33.06 AAAA Carver (Columbus) 92.5% 25 Spencer AA
32.77 AA Model 61.1% 5 Sonoraville AAA
32.22 AAAA Luella 64.2% 6 Manchester A – Public
32.10 AAAAA Columbia 75.5% 11 Druid Hills AAAA
30.91 A – Private Wesleyan 84.4% 17 B.E.S.T. Academy AA
30.77 AA Elbert County 92.1% 24 Washington-Wilkes A – Public
30.68 AAA Pierce County 83.0% 16 Bacon County AA
30.33 A – Public Macon County 82.5% 16 Dooly County A – Public
29.57 A – Public Emanuel County Institute 80.3% 14 Swainsboro AA
29.14 AAAAA Lithonia 70.5% 9 Redan AAA
28.74 AAAAAA Northside (Warner Robins) 98.9% 39 Henry County AAAA
28.09 AAAAAA Tucker 97.8% 35 Lakeside (Atlanta) AAAAAAA
27.83 AAA Liberty County 88.8% 21 Bradwell Institute AAAAAA
27.66 AAAAAAA Duluth 55.2% 2 Berkmar AAAAAAA
27.60 AAAAA Loganville 88.2% 20 Monroe Area AAA
27.51 AAAAAA Alcovy 57.8% 3 Meadowcreek AAAAAAA
27.40 AAAAAA South Cobb 77.2% 12 Campbell AAAAAAA
27.01 AAAAA Cedar Shoals 65.6% 7 Discovery AAAAAAA
26.97 A – Public Bowdon 71.6% 9 Bremen AAA
26.89 AAAAAA Douglas County 85.2% 18 Lithia Springs AAAAA
26.79 AAAAAA Winder-Barrow 80.7% 14 Walnut Grove AAAAA
26.13 AAAAA Harris County 93.0% 26 Hardaway AAAA
25.72 AAAA Baldwin 81.6% 15 Wilkinson County A – Public
24.68 AAA Union County 65.8% 7 Gilmer AAAA
24.68 AA Washington 72.6% 10 North Clayton AAAA
24.02 AAA Ringgold 70.1% 9 Heritage (Ringgold) AAAA
23.50 A – Private Mount Paran Christian 92.5% 25 Fellowship Christian A – Private
22.67 AAAA Troup 63.2% 6 Kendrick AAA
22.62 AAAAA Decatur 79.6% 14 Chamblee AAAAA
22.14 AAAA White County 60.4% 4 Lumpkin County AAA
21.89 AA Lamar County 90.7% 23 Northeast AA
21.67 A – Public Hawkinsville 60.8% 5 Bleckley County AA
21.44 AAAA Cedartown 69.4% 8 Rockmart AA
21.33 AAA Morgan County 84.0% 17 Greene County A – Public
21.08 A – Public Charlton County 90.4% 22 Brantley County AAA
21.06 AAAA Perry 84.3% 17 Rutland AAA
20.30 A – Public Commerce 87.8% 20 Banks County AA
20.16 AAAAAA Sprayberry 93.3% 26 Osborne AAAAAA
19.07 AAA Westside (Macon) 96.9% 33 Southwest AA
19.02 AAAA Columbus 79.9% 14 Jordan AA
18.41 A – Private Athens Christian 74.7% 11 Monticello AA
17.91 AAA Jackson County 84.1% 17 Madison County AAAA
17.64 AAA Tattnall County 69.0% 8 Claxton A – Public
17.53 AAAAAA River Ridge 77.7% 13 Apalachee AAAAAA
17.45 AAAAA Maynard Jackson 84.1% 17 Therrell AA
16.66 AAAAA Banneker 65.4% 7 Towers AAA
15.69 AA Bryan County 80.4% 14 Beach AAA
15.04 A – Private Holy Innocents 76.3% 12 St. Francis A – Private
13.81 AAA East Hall 78.8% 13 Chestatee AAAA
13.37 AAAA Northwest Whitfield 95.4% 30 South Atlanta AA
12.98 A – Public Hancock Central 67.0% 7 Putnam County AA
12.61 A – Private Stratford Academy 93.1% 26 Savannah Country Day A – Private
12.45 AA Toombs County 70.8% 9 Twiggs County A – Public
12.38 AA Jeff Davis 63.9% 6 Atkinson County A – Public
12.32 A – Public Mitchell County 64.7% 6 Albany AA
12.21 AAAA Richmond Academy 84.0% 17 Westside (Augusta) AA
12.18 A – Public Trion 89.1% 21 LaFayette AAAA
10.36 AA Heard County 94.3% 28 Greenville A – Public
10.22 A – Public Marion County 95.7% 30 Chattahoochee County A – Public
9.81 A – Public Treutlen 53.4% 2 Portal A – Public
9.70 A – Public Telfair County 83.3% 16 Savannah AAA
9.21 A – Private Pacelli 59.2% 4 Crawford County A – Public
8.82 A – Private Savannah Christian 94.2% 28 New Hampstead AAAAA
8.76 AAAAA North Springs 74.1% 11 K.I.P.P. Atlanta Collegiate AA
8.52 A – Public Terrell County 51.2% 1 Miller County A – Public
8.08 A – Private Calvary Day 96.3% 31 Johnson (Savannah) AAA
8.03 A – Public Wilcox County 67.1% 7 Tattnall Square A – Private
7.61 AAAAAA Greenbrier 81.8% 15 Butler AA
7.53 A – Private George Walton Academy 78.4% 13 Social Circle AA
7.38 AAAA West Hall 93.1% 26 Johnson (Gainesville) AAAAA
7.25 AAAAAA Forest Park 74.9% 11 Morrow AAAAA
4.18 AAA Haralson County 55.5% 3 Temple AA
4.13 AA Berrien 87.7% 20 Lanier County A – Public
2.29 A – Private Prince Avenue Christian 99.4% 41 Riverside Military Academy A – Private
0.59 AAAAA Miller Grove 98.5% 38 Stone Mountain AAA
0.04 AAA East Jackson 60.6% 5 Lakeview Academy A – Private
-0.11 AA Josey 73.9% 11 Groves AAA
-1.14 A – Private Whitefield Academy 82.8% 16 Mount Vernon Presbyterian A – Private
-1.97 A – Public Wheeler County 70.4% 9 Georgia Military College A – Other
-2.39 A – Private North Cobb Christian 53.6% 2 Strong Rock Christian A – Private
-3.24 A – Public Jenkins County 85.9% 18 Windsor Forest AAA
-3.81 AAA McNair 88.9% 21 Clarkston AAAAA
-5.05 AAAA Hephzibah 60.8% 5 Glenn Hills AA
-5.94 AAA Long County 90.0% 22 Islands AAA
-6.81 A – Public Calhoun County 55.8% 3 Schley County A – Public
-7.93 AA Coosa 93.9% 27 Coahulla Creek AAA
-9.62 A – Public Pelham 97.4% 34 Baconton Charter A – Public
-11.83 AA Armuchee 77.6% 13 Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe AAA
-17.32 AAAA Southeast Whitfield 98.5% 38 Gordon Central AA
-19.32 A – Public Fulton Leadership Academy 53.2% 2 Providence Christian A – Private
-20.29 AA Harlem 95.4% 30 Glascock County A – Other
-32.36 A – Public Seminole County 99.7% 41 Stewart County A – Public
-34.86 A – Other Pataula Charter 56.2% 3 Webster County A – Other

Aug 27

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
69.54 AAAAA Stockbridge 50.8% 1 Mays AAAAAA
46.18 AAAAA Carver (Atlanta) 77.4% 12 Tri-Cities AAAAAA
44.87 AAA Monroe 52.6% 1 Westover AAAA
43.46 AAAAAA M.L. King 65.9% 7 Arabia Mountain AAAAA
30.26 AAAA Howard 66.7% 7 First Presbyterian A – Private
20.44 AAA Central (Macon) 83.6% 16 Mount de Sales A – Private

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