Maxwell Week 2 Projections
Article and photos courtesy of the Atlanta Journal-Constitution –> Original Article Here
Each game is listed showing the game rate, favorite, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, the projected margin, and the opponent.
The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents.
All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.
The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.
Visit the Maxwell Ratings for more ratings and information, including Maxwell’s Georgia High School Football Archive.
Aug 25
Game Rate | Class | Favorite | Percent | Margin | Opponent | Class |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
32.61 | AAAAA | McIntosh | 75.4% | 11 | Mount Zion (Jonesboro) | AAAAAA |
8.76 | A – Public | Johnson County | 86.9% | 19 | East Laurens | AA |
Aug 26
Game Rate | Class | Favorite | Percent | Margin | Opponent | Class |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
79.95 | AAAAAAA | Archer | 56.3% | 3 | Peachtree Ridge | AAAAAAA |
68.92 | AAAAAAA | Etowah | 51.6% | 1 | North Cobb | AAAAAAA |
67.07 | AAAAAA | Hughes | 50.6% | 1 | Westlake | AAAAAAA |
67.01 | AAAAAAA | Brookwood | 63.1% | 6 | Walton | AAAAAAA |
66.54 | AAAAAAA | Norcross | 81.1% | 15 | Collins Hill | AAAAAAA |
66.05 | AAA | Calhoun | 64.2% | 6 | Dalton | AAAAAA |
65.78 | AAAAAAA | Shiloh | 51.2% | 1 | Parkview | AAAAAAA |
64.52 | AAAAAAA | North Gwinnett | 53.1% | 2 | Milton | AAAAAAA |
64.07 | AAAAAAA | South Gwinnett | 66.6% | 7 | Lanier | AAAAAA |
63.69 | AAAAA | Ware County | 76.9% | 12 | Glynn Academy | AAAAAA |
63.50 | AAAAAA | Lee County | 71.6% | 9 | Bainbridge | AAAAA |
63.37 | AAAAAA | Dacula | 78.3% | 13 | Central Gwinnett | AAAAAAA |
61.92 | AAA | Greater Atlanta Christian | 72.1% | 10 | Westminster (Atlanta) | AAA |
61.33 | AAAAAAA | Mill Creek | 97.1% | 34 | Stephenson | AAAAAA |
60.63 | AAAAAA | South Paulding | 58.1% | 4 | North Paulding | AAAAAAA |
59.82 | AAAAAA | Allatoona | 81.7% | 15 | Alexander | AAAAAA |
57.82 | AAAAAA | Gainesville | 61.6% | 5 | Alpharetta | AAAAAA |
57.32 | AAAAAA | Harrison | 68.5% | 8 | Rome | AAAAA |
57.24 | AAAAA | Starr’s Mill | 56.6% | 3 | Newnan | AAAAAAA |
57.21 | AAAA | Marist | 79.3% | 14 | Lovett | AAA |
56.37 | AAAAAA | Houston County | 80.2% | 14 | Peach County | AAA |
53.03 | AAAAAAA | Lambert | 62.6% | 5 | Mountain View | AAAAAAA |
52.61 | AAAA | Thomson | 70.8% | 9 | Effingham County | AAAAAA |
52.35 | AAAAAAA | West Forsyth | 75.4% | 11 | Pace Academy | AAA |
52.02 | AAAAAA | Coffee | 87.1% | 19 | Brunswick | AAAAAA |
51.66 | AAAAAA | Valdosta | 95.6% | 30 | Woodland (Stockbridge) | AAAAA |
50.98 | AAAAAA | Lovejoy | 67.1% | 7 | Mundy’s Mill | AAAAAA |
50.94 | AAAA | Blessed Trinity | 90.8% | 23 | Marietta | AAAAAAA |
50.93 | AAAAAA | Creekview | 64.2% | 6 | Cambridge | AAAAAA |
50.11 | AAAA | Jefferson | 83.1% | 16 | Riverwood | AAAAA |
49.77 | AAAA | West Laurens | 53.8% | 2 | Wayne County | AAAAA |
49.75 | AAAAAAA | Newton | 87.9% | 20 | Eastside | AAAA |
49.33 | AAAAA | Griffin | 68.9% | 8 | Spalding | AAAA |
48.96 | AAAAA | Jones County | 79.3% | 14 | Washington County | AA |
48.69 | AAAAA | Warner Robins | 66.1% | 7 | Locust Grove | AAAAA |
48.64 | AA | Jefferson County | 57.1% | 3 | Lakeside (Evans) | AAAAAA |
48.39 | AAAA | Woodward Academy | 93.8% | 27 | Grady | AAAAA |
48.09 | AAAAAAA | Wheeler | 82.0% | 15 | Centennial | AAAAAA |
47.90 | AAAA | Mary Persons | 73.8% | 11 | Jackson | AAA |
47.90 | AA | Fitzgerald | 83.6% | 16 | Irwin County | A – Public |
47.46 | AAAAAA | New Manchester | 59.8% | 4 | Paulding County | AAAAA |
46.73 | AAAAAAA | Tift County | 90.9% | 23 | Cook | AAA |
45.72 | AAAAA | Clarke Central | 63.4% | 6 | Oconee County | AAAA |
45.28 | AAAAAAA | Cherokee | 74.5% | 11 | Sequoyah | AAAAAA |
44.51 | AAA | Cedar Grove | 89.9% | 22 | Southwest DeKalb | AAAAA |
42.97 | AAAAA | Villa Rica | 70.0% | 9 | LaGrange | AAAA |
42.68 | A – Private | Aquinas | 57.2% | 3 | Laney | AA |
42.50 | AA | Vidalia | 77.7% | 13 | Appling County | AAA |
40.90 | AAAA | Burke County | 84.8% | 17 | Statesboro | AAAAA |
40.82 | AAAAAAA | North Forsyth | 67.6% | 8 | Johns Creek | AAAAAA |
40.44 | AAAAA | Cass | 64.3% | 6 | Adairsville | AAA |
40.09 | AAAAA | Dutchtown | 77.3% | 12 | Ola | AAAAA |
39.42 | AA | Rabun County | 68.8% | 8 | Mount Pisgah Christian | A – Private |
39.05 | AAAA | Upson-Lee | 73.2% | 10 | Shaw | AAAA |
37.69 | A – Private | Eagle’s Landing Christian | 93.1% | 26 | Jonesboro | AAAAAA |
37.67 | AAAAA | Flowery Branch | 78.3% | 13 | North Hall | AAA |
37.27 | AAAA | North Oconee | 72.3% | 10 | Grovetown | AAAAAA |
36.60 | AAAAA | Thomas County Central | 90.7% | 23 | Thomasville | AA |
36.05 | AAAAA | Veterans | 76.3% | 12 | Dublin | AA |
35.54 | AAAAAA | Drew | 90.7% | 23 | Riverdale | AAAAA |
35.43 | AAAAAAA | Lassiter | 90.3% | 22 | Pope | AAAAAA |
35.13 | AAAAAAA | Rockdale County | 67.4% | 7 | Chattahoochee | AAAAAA |
35.13 | AAA | Crisp County | 74.5% | 11 | Americus-Sumter | AAAA |
35.08 | AAAAA | Fayette County | 61.3% | 5 | Chapel Hill | AAAA |
34.79 | AAAAAA | Richmond Hill | 68.5% | 8 | Southeast Bulloch | AAA |
33.93 | AAAA | Stephens County | 80.1% | 14 | Franklin County | AAA |
33.86 | A – Public | Clinch County | 80.0% | 14 | McIntosh County Academy | A – Public |
33.50 | AAAA | Ridgeland | 74.4% | 11 | Pepperell | AA |
33.49 | AAA | Worth County | 82.1% | 15 | Turner County | A – Public |
33.26 | AAAAAAA | South Forsyth | 93.8% | 27 | Pinecrest Academy | A – Private |
33.18 | AAAAAAA | Forsyth Central | 59.3% | 4 | Dawson County | AAA |
33.11 | AAAAA | Whitewater | 72.6% | 10 | Union Grove | AAAAA |
33.06 | AAAA | Carver (Columbus) | 92.5% | 25 | Spencer | AA |
32.77 | AA | Model | 61.1% | 5 | Sonoraville | AAA |
32.22 | AAAA | Luella | 64.2% | 6 | Manchester | A – Public |
32.10 | AAAAA | Columbia | 75.5% | 11 | Druid Hills | AAAA |
30.91 | A – Private | Wesleyan | 84.4% | 17 | B.E.S.T. Academy | AA |
30.77 | AA | Elbert County | 92.1% | 24 | Washington-Wilkes | A – Public |
30.68 | AAA | Pierce County | 83.0% | 16 | Bacon County | AA |
30.33 | A – Public | Macon County | 82.5% | 16 | Dooly County | A – Public |
29.57 | A – Public | Emanuel County Institute | 80.3% | 14 | Swainsboro | AA |
29.14 | AAAAA | Lithonia | 70.5% | 9 | Redan | AAA |
28.74 | AAAAAA | Northside (Warner Robins) | 98.9% | 39 | Henry County | AAAA |
28.09 | AAAAAA | Tucker | 97.8% | 35 | Lakeside (Atlanta) | AAAAAAA |
27.83 | AAA | Liberty County | 88.8% | 21 | Bradwell Institute | AAAAAA |
27.66 | AAAAAAA | Duluth | 55.2% | 2 | Berkmar | AAAAAAA |
27.60 | AAAAA | Loganville | 88.2% | 20 | Monroe Area | AAA |
27.51 | AAAAAA | Alcovy | 57.8% | 3 | Meadowcreek | AAAAAAA |
27.40 | AAAAAA | South Cobb | 77.2% | 12 | Campbell | AAAAAAA |
27.01 | AAAAA | Cedar Shoals | 65.6% | 7 | Discovery | AAAAAAA |
26.97 | A – Public | Bowdon | 71.6% | 9 | Bremen | AAA |
26.89 | AAAAAA | Douglas County | 85.2% | 18 | Lithia Springs | AAAAA |
26.79 | AAAAAA | Winder-Barrow | 80.7% | 14 | Walnut Grove | AAAAA |
26.13 | AAAAA | Harris County | 93.0% | 26 | Hardaway | AAAA |
25.72 | AAAA | Baldwin | 81.6% | 15 | Wilkinson County | A – Public |
24.68 | AAA | Union County | 65.8% | 7 | Gilmer | AAAA |
24.68 | AA | Washington | 72.6% | 10 | North Clayton | AAAA |
24.02 | AAA | Ringgold | 70.1% | 9 | Heritage (Ringgold) | AAAA |
23.50 | A – Private | Mount Paran Christian | 92.5% | 25 | Fellowship Christian | A – Private |
22.67 | AAAA | Troup | 63.2% | 6 | Kendrick | AAA |
22.62 | AAAAA | Decatur | 79.6% | 14 | Chamblee | AAAAA |
22.14 | AAAA | White County | 60.4% | 4 | Lumpkin County | AAA |
21.89 | AA | Lamar County | 90.7% | 23 | Northeast | AA |
21.67 | A – Public | Hawkinsville | 60.8% | 5 | Bleckley County | AA |
21.44 | AAAA | Cedartown | 69.4% | 8 | Rockmart | AA |
21.33 | AAA | Morgan County | 84.0% | 17 | Greene County | A – Public |
21.08 | A – Public | Charlton County | 90.4% | 22 | Brantley County | AAA |
21.06 | AAAA | Perry | 84.3% | 17 | Rutland | AAA |
20.30 | A – Public | Commerce | 87.8% | 20 | Banks County | AA |
20.16 | AAAAAA | Sprayberry | 93.3% | 26 | Osborne | AAAAAA |
19.07 | AAA | Westside (Macon) | 96.9% | 33 | Southwest | AA |
19.02 | AAAA | Columbus | 79.9% | 14 | Jordan | AA |
18.41 | A – Private | Athens Christian | 74.7% | 11 | Monticello | AA |
17.91 | AAA | Jackson County | 84.1% | 17 | Madison County | AAAA |
17.64 | AAA | Tattnall County | 69.0% | 8 | Claxton | A – Public |
17.53 | AAAAAA | River Ridge | 77.7% | 13 | Apalachee | AAAAAA |
17.45 | AAAAA | Maynard Jackson | 84.1% | 17 | Therrell | AA |
16.66 | AAAAA | Banneker | 65.4% | 7 | Towers | AAA |
15.69 | AA | Bryan County | 80.4% | 14 | Beach | AAA |
15.04 | A – Private | Holy Innocents | 76.3% | 12 | St. Francis | A – Private |
13.81 | AAA | East Hall | 78.8% | 13 | Chestatee | AAAA |
13.37 | AAAA | Northwest Whitfield | 95.4% | 30 | South Atlanta | AA |
12.98 | A – Public | Hancock Central | 67.0% | 7 | Putnam County | AA |
12.61 | A – Private | Stratford Academy | 93.1% | 26 | Savannah Country Day | A – Private |
12.45 | AA | Toombs County | 70.8% | 9 | Twiggs County | A – Public |
12.38 | AA | Jeff Davis | 63.9% | 6 | Atkinson County | A – Public |
12.32 | A – Public | Mitchell County | 64.7% | 6 | Albany | AA |
12.21 | AAAA | Richmond Academy | 84.0% | 17 | Westside (Augusta) | AA |
12.18 | A – Public | Trion | 89.1% | 21 | LaFayette | AAAA |
10.36 | AA | Heard County | 94.3% | 28 | Greenville | A – Public |
10.22 | A – Public | Marion County | 95.7% | 30 | Chattahoochee County | A – Public |
9.81 | A – Public | Treutlen | 53.4% | 2 | Portal | A – Public |
9.70 | A – Public | Telfair County | 83.3% | 16 | Savannah | AAA |
9.21 | A – Private | Pacelli | 59.2% | 4 | Crawford County | A – Public |
8.82 | A – Private | Savannah Christian | 94.2% | 28 | New Hampstead | AAAAA |
8.76 | AAAAA | North Springs | 74.1% | 11 | K.I.P.P. Atlanta Collegiate | AA |
8.52 | A – Public | Terrell County | 51.2% | 1 | Miller County | A – Public |
8.08 | A – Private | Calvary Day | 96.3% | 31 | Johnson (Savannah) | AAA |
8.03 | A – Public | Wilcox County | 67.1% | 7 | Tattnall Square | A – Private |
7.61 | AAAAAA | Greenbrier | 81.8% | 15 | Butler | AA |
7.53 | A – Private | George Walton Academy | 78.4% | 13 | Social Circle | AA |
7.38 | AAAA | West Hall | 93.1% | 26 | Johnson (Gainesville) | AAAAA |
7.25 | AAAAAA | Forest Park | 74.9% | 11 | Morrow | AAAAA |
4.18 | AAA | Haralson County | 55.5% | 3 | Temple | AA |
4.13 | AA | Berrien | 87.7% | 20 | Lanier County | A – Public |
2.29 | A – Private | Prince Avenue Christian | 99.4% | 41 | Riverside Military Academy | A – Private |
0.59 | AAAAA | Miller Grove | 98.5% | 38 | Stone Mountain | AAA |
0.04 | AAA | East Jackson | 60.6% | 5 | Lakeview Academy | A – Private |
-0.11 | AA | Josey | 73.9% | 11 | Groves | AAA |
-1.14 | A – Private | Whitefield Academy | 82.8% | 16 | Mount Vernon Presbyterian | A – Private |
-1.97 | A – Public | Wheeler County | 70.4% | 9 | Georgia Military College | A – Other |
-2.39 | A – Private | North Cobb Christian | 53.6% | 2 | Strong Rock Christian | A – Private |
-3.24 | A – Public | Jenkins County | 85.9% | 18 | Windsor Forest | AAA |
-3.81 | AAA | McNair | 88.9% | 21 | Clarkston | AAAAA |
-5.05 | AAAA | Hephzibah | 60.8% | 5 | Glenn Hills | AA |
-5.94 | AAA | Long County | 90.0% | 22 | Islands | AAA |
-6.81 | A – Public | Calhoun County | 55.8% | 3 | Schley County | A – Public |
-7.93 | AA | Coosa | 93.9% | 27 | Coahulla Creek | AAA |
-9.62 | A – Public | Pelham | 97.4% | 34 | Baconton Charter | A – Public |
-11.83 | AA | Armuchee | 77.6% | 13 | Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe | AAA |
-17.32 | AAAA | Southeast Whitfield | 98.5% | 38 | Gordon Central | AA |
-19.32 | A – Public | Fulton Leadership Academy | 53.2% | 2 | Providence Christian | A – Private |
-20.29 | AA | Harlem | 95.4% | 30 | Glascock County | A – Other |
-32.36 | A – Public | Seminole County | 99.7% | 41 | Stewart County | A – Public |
-34.86 | A – Other | Pataula Charter | 56.2% | 3 | Webster County | A – Other |
Aug 27
Game Rate | Class | Favorite | Percent | Margin | Opponent | Class |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
69.54 | AAAAA | Stockbridge | 50.8% | 1 | Mays | AAAAAA |
46.18 | AAAAA | Carver (Atlanta) | 77.4% | 12 | Tri-Cities | AAAAAA |
44.87 | AAA | Monroe | 52.6% | 1 | Westover | AAAA |
43.46 | AAAAAA | M.L. King | 65.9% | 7 | Arabia Mountain | AAAAA |
30.26 | AAAA | Howard | 66.7% | 7 | First Presbyterian | A – Private |
20.44 | AAA | Central (Macon) | 83.6% | 16 | Mount de Sales | A – Private |
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