Maxwell Week 1 Projections

Each game is listed showing the game rate, favorite, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, the projected margin, and the opponent.

The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Visit the Maxwell Ratings for more ratings and information, including Maxwell’s Georgia High School Football Archive.

Aug 18

Game Rate	Class	Favorite	Percent	Margin	Opponent	Class
64.18	AAAAAA	Lee County	68.5%	-8	Jones County	AAAAA
61.25	AAAAAAA	Newton	65.2%	-7	Drew	AAAAAA
60.41	AAAAAA	Houston County	71.1%	-9	Mary Persons	AAAA
25.03	AAAA	Northside (Columbus)	81.1%	-15	Kendrick	AAA
20.42	A – Public	Turner County	79.0%	-13	Dougherty	AAA
20.28	AA	Dade County	63.7%	-6	Gordon Lee	A – Public
9.95	AA	Heard County	95.8%	-30	South Atlanta	AA
7.43	AAA	Towers	85.0%	-17	Forest Park	AAAAAA
2.30	AAAAA	Morrow	81.9%	-15	Hampton	AAAAA

Aug 19

Game Rate	Class	Favorite	Percent	Margin	Opponent	Class
83.59	AAAAA	Buford	64.5%	-6	Roswell	AAAAAAA
77.32	AAAA	Cartersville	58.1%	-4	Allatoona	AAAAAA
76.25	AAAAAA	Valdosta	50.4%	-1	Lowndes	AAAAAAA
67.58	AAAA	Blessed Trinity	55.1%	-2	St. Pius X	AAAA
65.46	AAAAAA	Glynn Academy	55.8%	-3	Benedictine	AA
64.61	AAAA	Woodward Academy	71.4%	-9	Westminster (Atlanta)	AAA
63.35	AAAAAAA	Hillgrove	67.4%	-7	South Forsyth	AAAAAAA
61.90	AAAAAA	Lovejoy	56.7%	-3	East Coweta	AAAAAAA
61.26	AAAAAAA	Central Gwinnett	76.5%	-12	South Gwinnett	AAAAAAA
61.21	AAAAAA	Stephenson	71.3%	-9	Cedar Grove	AAA
60.53	AAA	Greater Atlanta Christian	72.2%	-10	Lovett	AAA
60.41	AAAAAAA	Milton	58.5%	-4	Alpharetta	AAAAAA
59.72	AAAAAAA	Collins Hill	81.5%	-15	Shiloh	AAAAAAA
58.99	AAAAAA	Northside (Warner Robins)	81.3%	-15	Warner Robins	AAAAA
58.14	AAAAAAA	Newnan	53.1%	-2	Carrollton	AAAAA
56.98	AAAAA	East Paulding	64.0%	-6	Harrison	AAAAAA
55.70	AAAAAAA	West Forsyth	59.8%	-4	Woodstock	AAAAAAA
55.54	AAAAAAA	North Cobb	80.9%	-15	Cherokee	AAAAAAA
55.49	AAAAAAA	Wheeler	52.6%	-1	Marietta	AAAAAAA
55.02	AAAAAA	Coffee	82.8%	-16	Effingham County	AAAAAA
54.08	AAAAAA	Hughes	75.5%	-11	Mundy’s Mill	AAAAAA
53.34	AA	Elbert County	57.6%	-3	Hart County	AAA
52.76	AAAAA	Thomas County Central	51.6%	-1	Worth County	AAA
51.23	AAAAAAA	North Paulding	71.6%	-9	Paulding County	AAAAA
51.17	AAAAAAA	Tift County	83.7%	-16	South Effingham	AAAAA
49.75	AAAAAA	Lanier	80.7%	-14	Northview	AAAAAA
49.17	A – Private	Prince Avenue Christian	52.4%	-1	Aquinas	A – Private
48.11	AA	Brooks County	78.8%	-13	Cook	AAA
47.58	AA	Dodge County	51.6%	-1	Vidalia	AA
47.12	A – Private	Eagle’s Landing Christian	81.8%	-15	Eagle’s Landing	AAAAA
46.77	AAAAAA	Northgate	86.8%	-19	Veterans	AAAAA
46.34	AA	Callaway	68.0%	-8	LaGrange	AAAA
45.78	AAAA	Thomson	76.5%	-12	Laney	AA
44.98	AAAA	Central (Carrollton)	62.1%	-5	Villa Rica	AAAAA
43.82	AAAAA	Columbia	56.5%	-3	M.L. King	AAAAAA
43.27	AAAAA	Clarke Central	60.1%	-4	Winder-Barrow	AAAAAA
41.29	AA	Jefferson County	72.8%	-10	Savannah Christian	A – Private
41.22	AAAA	Eastside	60.7%	-5	Luella	AAAA
41.18	AAAAAAA	Kennesaw Mountain	52.7%	-1	Hiram	AAAAA
39.10	AAA	Westside (Macon)	80.4%	-14	Howard	AAAA
39.07	AAAAA	Carver (Atlanta)	85.1%	-18	Lithonia	AAAAA
38.33	AAAAAAA	Lassiter	89.4%	-21	Johns Creek	AAAAAA
38.00	AAAAAA	South Cobb	70.7%	-9	Pebblebrook	AAAAAAA
37.92	AAAAAA	Sequoyah	82.1%	-15	North Forsyth	AAAAAAA
37.81	AAAA	Pickens	60.6%	-5	Chattahoochee	AAAAAA
37.52	AAAAA	Woodland (Stockbridge)	79.4%	-14	Union Grove	AAAAA
37.14	AAAA	Burke County	86.7%	-19	Grovetown	AAAAAA
36.33	AAAAA	Decatur	55.8%	-3	McIntosh	AAAAA
36.18	AAAA	Northwest Whitfield	56.6%	-3	Ringgold	AAA
34.05	AAA	Adairsville	82.6%	-16	Ridgeland	AAAA
33.93	AAAA	Cairo	88.8%	-21	Thomasville	AA
33.52	AAA	Jackson	73.4%	-10	Swainsboro	AA
33.10	AAA	Crisp County	72.7%	-10	Dooly County	A – Public
32.89	AAAAAAA	Berkmar	58.1%	-4	Rockdale County	AAAAAAA
32.05	A – Private	Landmark Christian	73.2%	-10	B.E.S.T. Academy	AA
30.65	AAAA	Salem	79.3%	-14	Heritage (Conyers)	AAAAAA
30.57	A – Public	Emanuel County Institute	72.9%	-10	Metter	AA
30.48	AAAAAA	Gainesville	96.2%	-31	West Hall	AAAA
28.85	A – Private	Mount Pisgah Christian	69.5%	-8	Holy Innocents	A – Private
28.02	AAA	East Hall	52.0%	-1	Habersham Central	AAAAAA
27.74	AAAAA	Grady	88.0%	-20	North Atlanta	AAAAAA
27.61	AAAAA	Riverdale	57.4%	-3	North Clayton	AAAA
27.19	AA	Dublin	66.1%	-7	Tattnall County	AAA
27.07	AAAA	White County	73.3%	-10	Franklin County	AAA
27.00	AAAA	Jefferson	97.2%	-34	Discovery	AAAAAAA
26.20	A – Public	Irwin County	88.4%	-20	Berrien	AA
24.99	AAAAAAA	Etowah	99.0%	-39	Campbell	AAAAAAA
24.44	AAA	Brantley County	56.6%	-3	McIntosh County Academy	A – Public
24.11	A – Public	Clinch County	90.9%	-23	Bleckley County	AA
24.01	A – Private	Mount Paran Christian	91.8%	-24	Our Lady of Mercy	A – Private
23.55	AAAA	Druid Hills	69.2%	-8	Chamblee	AAAAA
22.99	AAAAA	Woodland (Cartersville)	51.6%	-1	River Ridge	AAAAAA
22.48	AAAAAAA	Duluth	83.1%	-16	Alcovy	AAAAAA
22.46	AAAAAAA	Lakeside (Atlanta)	59.9%	-4	Dunwoody	AAAAAA
22.41	AAA	Calhoun	99.3%	-40	Douglass	AA
22.19	AAA	Jackson County	75.9%	-12	Banks County	AA
22.18	AAAAAAA	Mountain View	94.2%	-27	Osborne	AAAAAA
21.49	A – Private	Brookstone	66.2%	-7	Jordan	AA
20.39	AAAA	Gilmer	82.6%	-16	Fannin County	AAA
18.59	A – Private	Athens Academy	75.6%	-11	Walker	A – Private
18.23	AAAAAA	Jonesboro	97.0%	-33	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	AAAAAA
17.03	A – Private	Christian Heritage	84.0%	-17	North Murray	AAA
16.57	A – Public	Manchester	79.9%	-14	Greenville	A – Public
16.43	AAAA	Baldwin	93.0%	-26	Hancock Central	A – Public
16.40	AAAA	Troup	90.6%	-23	Hardaway	AAAA
15.68	AAAAA	Ola	91.4%	-23	Pike County	AAA
15.27	A – Private	Wesleyan	95.9%	-31	Therrell	AA
14.52	A – Private	Fellowship Christian	71.3%	-9	Atkinson County	A – Public
11.93	A – Public	Pelham	84.4%	-17	Albany	AA
11.88	A – Public	Taylor County	58.3%	-4	Terrell County	A – Public
11.69	AA	Toombs County	65.2%	-7	East Laurens	AA
9.24	AAAA	Cross Creek	67.4%	-8	Butler	AA
9.10	A – Private	Pacelli	83.3%	-16	Mount de Sales	A – Private
5.43	A – Private	Hebron Christian Academy	69.2%	-8	East Jackson	AAA
4.27	AAA	North Hall	97.4%	-34	Chestatee	AAAA
4.04	A – Public	Jenkins County	66.8%	-7	Hephzibah	AAAA
3.79	AAAA	LaFayette	56.7%	-3	Armuchee	AA
3.17	AAA	Jenkins	96.5%	-32	New Hampstead	AAAAA
1.41	AA	Putnam County	92.9%	-25	Warren County	A – Public
0.66	AAAAA	Arabia Mountain	98.3%	-37	Stone Mountain	AAA
-0.20	AAAAA	Johnson (Gainesville)	80.3%	-14	Social Circle	AA
-0.57	A – Public	Treutlen	80.6%	-14	Georgia Military College	A – Other
-1.91	A – Public	Central (Talbotton)	50.5%	-1	Wheeler County	A – Public
-5.22	A – Public	Johnson County	95.7%	-30	Montgomery County	A – Public
-5.45	AAAAA	Miller Grove	99.2%	-40	Clarkston	AAAAA
-6.97	A – Public	Marion County	99.2%	-40	Schley County	A – Public
-9.58	A – Private	Calvary Day	99.4%	-40	Islands	AAA
-13.37	AA	K.I.P.P. Atlanta Collegiate	88.1%	-20	Fulton Leadership Academy	A – Public
-15.36	AAA	Murray County	88.9%	-21	Gordon Central	AA
-16.01	AAAA	Heritage (Ringgold)	98.1%	-36	Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	AAA
-19.79	A – Private	King’s Ridge Christian	93.8%	-27	Glascock County	A – Other
-26.86	A – Public	Baconton Charter	84.3%	-17	Pataula Charter	A – Other

Aug 20

Game Rate	Class	Favorite	Percent	Margin	Opponent	Class
90.22	AAAAAAA	Colquitt County	81.5%	-15	Mill Creek	AAAAAAA
85.37	AAAAAAA	Archer	57.7%	-3	McEachern	AAAAAAA
71.43	AAAAAAA	Norcross	62.2%	-5	Walton	AAAAAAA
67.51	AAAAAA	Tucker	65.2%	-6	Kell	AAAAA
66.35	AAAAAAA	North Gwinnett	71.4%	-9	Brookwood	AAAAAAA
28.53	AAAAA	Southwest DeKalb	84.5%	-17	Redan	AAA
-9.69	AAAA	Southeast Whitfield	97.2%	-34	Coahulla Creek	AAA