Maxwell Semifinal Projections

Article and photos courtesy of the Atlanta Journal-Constitution –> Original Article Here

Each game is listed showing the game rate, favorite, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, the projected margin, and the opponent.

The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Visit the Maxwell Ratings for more ratings and information, including Maxwell’s Georgia High School Football Archive.

NOTE: Projected margins provided to the AJC and GHSF Daily for their Finals capsules erroneously included a home advantage for certain teams. These are the correct projected margins for a neutral field.

Dec 09

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
84.52 AAAAAA Valdosta 50.6% 1 Tucker AAAAAA
77.73 AAAAA Buford 57.3% 3 Rome AAAAA
67.15 AAA Greater Atlanta Christian 61.4% 5 Cedar Grove AAA
62.40 A – Private Eagle’s Landing Christian 66.6% 7 Fellowship Christian A – Private

Dec 10

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
94.27 AAAAAAA Grayson 81.8% 15 Roswell AAAAAAA
78.52 AAAA Cartersville 67.9% 8 Thomson AAAA
70.22 AA Benedictine 72.3% 10 Fitzgerald AA
49.46 A – Public Macon County 81.8% 15 McIntosh County Academy A – Public

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