Maxwell playoff projections after Week 11
Article and photos courtesy of the Atlanta Journal-Constitution –> Original Article Here
Below are the current Maxwell Ratings’ playoff projections for each class.
The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation of the 2016 season. The simulation completed 1,000,000 seasons.
While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments, and playoff brackets.
All out of state opponents were considered equal to the average of the GHSA team’s classification (i.e., out of state opponents of Class AAAAAAA GHSA teams were treated as an average Class AAAAAAA team).
Although regions may use different criteria, in the simulation all standings were determined by 1) region record, 2) head to head, 3) point differential, 4) classification record, and 5) random tie breaker.
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Modal Bracket
Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.Wesl
Playoff Projections by Region
Each region is shown with the number of times it has teams represented in the semifinals and the finals and the number of times a representative of the region won the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Teams in Semifinals | Teams in Finals | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Region | Eliminated | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | 4 | Eliminated | 1+ | 2 | Champion | Odds |
| 8 – AAAAAAA | 122,670 | 877,330 | 106,801 | 2,275 | 6 | 250,030 | 749,970 | 11,670 | 595,191 | 0.68 |
| 4 – AAAAAAA | 173,794 | 826,206 | 67,771 | 1,439 | 3 | 396,903 | 603,097 | 1,363 | 225,074 | 3.44 |
| 7 – AAAAAAA | 319,785 | 680,215 | 22,483 | 231 | 1 | 715,402 | 284,598 | 673 | 66,440 | 14.05 |
| 6 – AAAAAAA | 413,490 | 586,510 | 22,315 | 237 | – | 850,293 | 149,707 | 607 | 65,273 | 14.32 |
| 3 – AAAAAAA | 562,611 | 437,389 | 49,033 | 747 | 1 | 890,604 | 109,396 | 2,409 | 29,398 | 33.02 |
| 1 – AAAAAAA | 747,502 | 252,498 | 19,428 | 201 | – | 919,049 | 80,951 | 1,356 | 18,464 | 53.16 |
| 2 – AAAAAAA | 976,157 | 23,843 | 68 | – | – | 997,784 | 2,216 | – | 84 | 11,903.76 |
| 5 – AAAAAAA | 977,185 | 22,815 | 156 | – | – | 998,013 | 1,987 | – | 76 | 13,156.89 |
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Record | Rating | Playoffs | Avg Depth | Qtrfinals | Semifinals | Finals | Champion | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grayson | 8 – AAAAAAA | 8-1 | 103.46 | 1,000,000 | 5.18 | 971,201 | 884,598 | 745,721 | 594,263 | 0.68 |
| Roswell | 4 – AAAAAAA | 9-0 | 93.47 | 1,000,000 | 4.55 | 910,724 | 824,424 | 596,980 | 224,640 | 3.45 |
| Norcross | 7 – AAAAAAA | 9-0 | 86.17 | 1,000,000 | 3.76 | 768,330 | 669,114 | 281,366 | 66,001 | 14.15 |
| Mill Creek | 6 – AAAAAAA | 9-0 | 88.53 | 1,000,000 | 3.57 | 840,762 | 569,792 | 144,850 | 65,015 | 14.38 |
| McEachern | 3 – AAAAAAA | 8-1 | 84.68 | 1,000,000 | 3.13 | 778,781 | 357,457 | 73,214 | 25,713 | 37.89 |
| Colquitt County | 1 – AAAAAAA | 6-4 | 82.92 | 1,000,000 | 2.80 | 733,378 | 115,993 | 47,956 | 14,921 | 66.02 |
| North Cobb | 3 – AAAAAAA | 7-2 | 74.88 | 1,000,000 | 2.61 | 651,857 | 119,944 | 37,777 | 3,645 | 273.35 |
| Lowndes | 1 – AAAAAAA | 8-2 | 76.08 | 1,000,000 | 2.19 | 201,231 | 144,643 | 32,635 | 3,475 | 286.77 |
| Archer | 8 – AAAAAAA | 3-6 | 68.97 | 921,669 | 1.97 | 364,750 | 66,508 | 9,452 | 535 | 1,868.16 |
| South Gwinnett | 8 – AAAAAAA | 7-2 | 69.33 | 1,000,000 | 1.65 | 85,889 | 30,304 | 6,172 | 380 | 2,630.58 |
| Brookwood | 7 – AAAAAAA | 6-3 | 70.50 | 1,000,000 | 1.89 | 174,220 | 11,899 | 1,982 | 258 | 3,874.97 |
| Cherokee | 4 – AAAAAAA | 6-3 | 67.29 | 1,000,000 | 2.05 | 127,642 | 34,649 | 3,794 | 240 | 4,165.67 |
| North Gwinnett | 6 – AAAAAAA | 5-4 | 67.32 | 1,000,000 | 1.55 | 43,364 | 18,190 | 3,605 | 183 | 5,463.48 |
| Parkview | 7 – AAAAAAA | 6-3 | 69.04 | 1,000,000 | 1.77 | 144,248 | 21,456 | 1,906 | 181 | 5,523.86 |
| Lassiter | 4 – AAAAAAA | 6-3 | 67.00 | 813,967 | 1.41 | 175,931 | 25,790 | 2,816 | 159 | 6,288.31 |
| Westlake | 2 – AAAAAAA | 6-3 | 61.88 | 1,000,000 | 1.66 | 179,950 | 20,763 | 1,944 | 68 | 14,704.88 |
| Tift County | 1 – AAAAAAA | 5-4 | 65.01 | 934,151 | 1.28 | 126,481 | 11,430 | 1,713 | 68 | 14,704.88 |
| Peachtree Ridge | 6 – AAAAAAA | 4-5 | 63.64 | 872,260 | 1.32 | 142,244 | 16,006 | 1,375 | 50 | 19,999.00 |
| Lambert | 5 – AAAAAAA | 5-4 | 59.39 | 1,000,000 | 1.85 | 159,889 | 10,707 | 1,265 | 33 | 30,302.03 |
| South Forsyth | 5 – AAAAAAA | 6-3 | 64.78 | 1,000,000 | 1.51 | 73,426 | 7,108 | 418 | 32 | 31,249.00 |
| Woodstock | 4 – AAAAAAA | 5-4 | 64.05 | 974,243 | 1.50 | 50,245 | 6,679 | 639 | 28 | 35,713.29 |
| North Paulding | 3 – AAAAAAA | 6-3 | 65.91 | 965,621 | 1.15 | 51,187 | 2,927 | 279 | 26 | 38,460.54 |
| Mountain View | 6 – AAAAAAA | 8-2 | 64.49 | 1,000,000 | 1.11 | 35,752 | 5,074 | 484 | 25 | 39,999.00 |
| East Coweta | 2 – AAAAAAA | 7-2 | 62.53 | 1,000,000 | 1.54 | 16,476 | 2,800 | 259 | 16 | 62,499.00 |
| Hillgrove | 3 – AAAAAAA | 5-4 | 62.32 | 1,000,000 | 1.22 | 24,369 | 6,834 | 535 | 14 | 71,427.57 |
| Newton | 8 – AAAAAAA | 5-3-1 | 62.69 | 999,766 | 1.14 | 38,251 | 4,998 | 295 | 13 | 76,922.08 |
| West Forsyth | 5 – AAAAAAA | 7-2 | 63.51 | 1,000,000 | 1.43 | 57,049 | 4,490 | 277 | 11 | 90,908.09 |
| Walton | 4 – AAAAAAA | 4-5 | 61.38 | 756,529 | 0.98 | 29,890 | 2,912 | 169 | 6 | 166,665.67 |
| Etowah | 4 – AAAAAAA | 4-5 | 58.62 | 209,632 | 0.27 | 13,184 | 965 | 62 | 1 | 999,999.00 |
| Milton | 5 – AAAAAAA | 4-5 | 54.77 | 605,138 | 0.63 | 2,604 | 578 | 24 | – | – |
| Central Gwinnett | 7 – AAAAAAA | 4-5 | 49.66 | 1,000,000 | 1.24 | 17,709 | 461 | 17 | – | – |
| Wheeler | 2 – AAAAAAA | 4-5 | 50.69 | 1,000,000 | 1.10 | 3,580 | 271 | 10 | – | – |
| North Forsyth | 5 – AAAAAAA | 4-5 | 49.56 | 400,181 | 0.41 | 670 | 89 | 3 | – | – |
| Pebblebrook | 2 – AAAAAAA | 5-4 | 45.87 | 1,000,000 | 1.04 | 1,187 | 76 | 3 | – | – |
| Camden County | 1 – AAAAAAA | 2-6 | 48.97 | 184,569 | 0.20 | 2,852 | 61 | 3 | – | – |
| Marietta | 3 – AAAAAAA | 3-6 | 50.41 | 148,395 | 0.15 | 539 | 7 | – | – | – |
| Shiloh | 8 – AAAAAAA | 2-7 | 46.70 | 79,086 | 0.08 | 123 | 3 | – | – | – |
| Collins Hill | 6 – AAAAAAA | 2-7 | 43.30 | 127,740 | 0.13 | 34 | – | – | – | – |
| Lakeside (Atlanta) | 7 – AAAAAAA | 5-4 | 30.65 | 7,053 | 0.01 | 1 | – | – | – | – |
| Newnan | 2 – AAAAAAA | 3-6 | 45.84 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Kennesaw Mountain | 3 – AAAAAAA | 2-7 | 37.49 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Rockdale County | 8 – AAAAAAA | 2-7 | 31.11 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Forsyth Central | 5 – AAAAAAA | 3-5 | 31.06 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Campbell | 2 – AAAAAAA | 0-9 | 23.25 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Discovery | 6 – AAAAAAA | 2-7 | 23.05 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Duluth | 6 – AAAAAAA | 2-7 | 8.82 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Meadowcreek | 7 – AAAAAAA | 1-8 | -1.89 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Berkmar | 7 – AAAAAAA | 0-10 | -17.47 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Playoff Seeding Projections
Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.
| Region | Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | At Large | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 – AAAAAAA | Colquitt County | 1,000,000 | – | – | – | – | – |
| 1 – AAAAAAA | Lowndes | – | 1,000,000 | – | – | – | – |
| 1 – AAAAAAA | Tift County | – | – | 815,431 | – | 118,720 | 65,849 |
| 1 – AAAAAAA | Camden County | – | – | 184,569 | – | – | 815,431 |
| 2 – AAAAAAA | Westlake | 1,000,000 | – | – | – | – | – |
| 2 – AAAAAAA | East Coweta | – | 1,000,000 | – | – | – | – |
| 2 – AAAAAAA | Wheeler | – | – | 663,420 | 336,580 | – | – |
| 2 – AAAAAAA | Pebblebrook | – | – | 336,580 | 663,420 | – | – |
| 2 – AAAAAAA | Newnan | – | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 2 – AAAAAAA | Campbell | – | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 3 – AAAAAAA | McEachern | 953,192 | 6,258 | 40,550 | – | – | – |
| 3 – AAAAAAA | North Cobb | 4,110 | 993,742 | 2,148 | – | – | – |
| 3 – AAAAAAA | Hillgrove | 42,698 | – | 957,302 | – | – | – |
| 3 – AAAAAAA | North Paulding | – | – | – | 851,605 | 114,016 | 34,379 |
| 3 – AAAAAAA | Marietta | – | – | – | 148,395 | – | 851,605 |
| 3 – AAAAAAA | Kennesaw Mountain | – | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 4 – AAAAAAA | Roswell | 943,267 | 56,733 | – | – | – | – |
| 4 – AAAAAAA | Cherokee | 56,733 | 943,267 | – | – | – | – |
| 4 – AAAAAAA | Woodstock | – | – | 735,957 | 173,490 | 64,796 | 25,757 |
| 4 – AAAAAAA | Lassiter | – | – | – | 602,627 | 211,340 | 186,033 |
| 4 – AAAAAAA | Walton | – | – | 264,043 | 105,728 | 386,758 | 243,471 |
| 4 – AAAAAAA | Etowah | – | – | – | 118,155 | 91,477 | 790,368 |
| 5 – AAAAAAA | Lambert | 953,770 | 18,367 | 27,863 | – | – | – |
| 5 – AAAAAAA | South Forsyth | 26,909 | 564,802 | 408,289 | – | – | – |
| 5 – AAAAAAA | West Forsyth | 19,321 | 416,831 | 563,848 | – | – | – |
| 5 – AAAAAAA | Milton | – | – | – | 599,819 | 5,319 | 394,862 |
| 5 – AAAAAAA | North Forsyth | – | – | – | 400,181 | – | 599,819 |
| 5 – AAAAAAA | Forsyth Central | – | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 6 – AAAAAAA | Mill Creek | 1,000,000 | – | – | – | – | – |
| 6 – AAAAAAA | North Gwinnett | – | 990,209 | 1,305 | 8,486 | – | – |
| 6 – AAAAAAA | Mountain View | – | 9,791 | 127,562 | 862,647 | – | – |
| 6 – AAAAAAA | Peachtree Ridge | – | – | 871,132 | 1,128 | – | 127,740 |
| 6 – AAAAAAA | Collins Hill | – | – | 1 | 127,739 | – | 872,260 |
| 6 – AAAAAAA | Discovery | – | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 6 – AAAAAAA | Duluth | – | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 7 – AAAAAAA | Norcross | 1,000,000 | – | – | – | – | – |
| 7 – AAAAAAA | Brookwood | – | 1,000,000 | – | – | – | – |
| 7 – AAAAAAA | Parkview | – | – | 861,000 | 139,000 | – | – |
| 7 – AAAAAAA | Central Gwinnett | – | – | 139,000 | 861,000 | – | – |
| 7 – AAAAAAA | Lakeside (Atlanta) | – | – | – | – | 7,053 | 992,947 |
| 7 – AAAAAAA | Meadowcreek | – | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 7 – AAAAAAA | Berkmar | – | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 8 – AAAAAAA | Grayson | 964,401 | 35,599 | – | – | – | – |
| 8 – AAAAAAA | Archer | – | 844,747 | 76,690 | 98 | 134 | 78,331 |
| 8 – AAAAAAA | South Gwinnett | 35,599 | 44,041 | 920,360 | – | – | – |
| 8 – AAAAAAA | Newton | – | 75,613 | 2,828 | 920,938 | 387 | 234 |
| 8 – AAAAAAA | Shiloh | – | – | 122 | 78,964 | – | 920,914 |
| 8 – AAAAAAA | Rockdale County | – | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
Modal Bracket
Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.
Playoff Projections by Region
Each region is shown with the number of times it has teams represented in the semifinals and the finals and the number of times a representative of the region won the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Teams in Semifinals | Teams in Finals | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Region | Eliminated | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | 4 | Eliminated | 1+ | 2 | Champion | Odds |
| 1 – AAAAAA | 78,884 | 921,116 | 494,591 | 84,030 | 4,308 | 333,956 | 666,044 | 146,392 | 463,335 | 1.16 |
| 6 – AAAAAA | 150,434 | 849,566 | 353,352 | 28,727 | 163 | 442,130 | 557,870 | 107,888 | 363,804 | 1.75 |
| 5 – AAAAAA | 450,388 | 549,612 | 129,116 | 11,957 | 346 | 698,852 | 301,148 | 18,882 | 124,067 | 7.06 |
| 2 – AAAAAA | 645,495 | 354,505 | 5,384 | 7 | – | 862,708 | 137,292 | 156 | 34,948 | 27.61 |
| 4 – AAAAAA | 862,650 | 137,350 | 3,297 | 12 | – | 944,519 | 55,481 | 40 | 12,805 | 77.09 |
| 7 – AAAAAA | 968,270 | 31,730 | 255 | – | – | 995,415 | 4,585 | 4 | 549 | 1,820.49 |
| 8 – AAAAAA | 959,895 | 40,105 | 270 | – | – | 995,792 | 4,208 | 5 | 492 | 2,031.52 |
| 3 – AAAAAA | 999,802 | 198 | – | – | – | 999,995 | 5 | – | – | – |
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Record | Rating | Playoffs | Avg Depth | Qtrfinals | Semifinals | Finals | Champion | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valdosta | 1 – AAAAAA | 8-1 | 82.61 | 1,000,000 | 4.53 | 851,657 | 808,669 | 512,290 | 363,355 | 1.75 |
| Dalton | 6 – AAAAAA | 9-0 | 80.35 | 1,000,000 | 4.23 | 931,487 | 705,007 | 370,129 | 242,850 | 3.12 |
| Harrison | 6 – AAAAAA | 8-1 | 77.17 | 1,000,000 | 3.50 | 715,111 | 436,320 | 275,614 | 117,552 | 7.51 |
| Mays | 5 – AAAAAA | 8-1 | 75.84 | 1,000,000 | 3.23 | 630,545 | 353,731 | 215,315 | 87,575 | 10.42 |
| Northside (Warner Robins) | 1 – AAAAAA | 8-2 | 74.09 | 1,000,000 | 3.54 | 771,538 | 479,369 | 224,689 | 78,752 | 11.70 |
| Glynn Academy | 2 – AAAAAA | 8-1 | 69.47 | 1,000,000 | 3.19 | 693,956 | 344,270 | 136,292 | 34,816 | 27.72 |
| Alexander | 5 – AAAAAA | 8-1 | 71.73 | 1,000,000 | 2.76 | 572,858 | 190,479 | 66,456 | 26,932 | 36.13 |
| Lee County | 1 – AAAAAA | 6-2 | 70.58 | 918,723 | 2.36 | 369,492 | 126,257 | 50,653 | 15,398 | 63.94 |
| Tucker | 4 – AAAAAA | 8-1 | 68.20 | 1,000,000 | 2.48 | 353,103 | 128,465 | 54,676 | 12,741 | 77.49 |
| Northgate | 5 – AAAAAA | 8-1 | 67.02 | 1,000,000 | 2.05 | 177,573 | 96,039 | 27,341 | 7,935 | 125.02 |
| Coffee | 1 – AAAAAA | 5-4 | 64.78 | 869,767 | 2.05 | 277,073 | 68,794 | 17,394 | 3,725 | 267.46 |
| Allatoona | 6 – AAAAAA | 5-4 | 63.85 | 1,000,000 | 2.11 | 261,214 | 84,476 | 19,670 | 3,371 | 295.65 |
| Houston County | 1 – AAAAAA | 7-2 | 68.33 | 211,510 | 0.52 | 77,255 | 20,954 | 7,410 | 2,105 | 474.06 |
| Hughes | 5 – AAAAAA | 7-3 | 63.02 | 1,000,000 | 1.82 | 146,836 | 50,782 | 10,918 | 1,625 | 614.38 |
| Dacula | 8 – AAAAAA | 5-4 | 54.28 | 1,000,000 | 2.10 | 399,966 | 32,063 | 3,262 | 423 | 2,363.07 |
| Johns Creek | 7 – AAAAAA | 7-2 | 56.92 | 1,000,000 | 1.48 | 74,890 | 20,233 | 3,268 | 349 | 2,864.33 |
| Centennial | 7 – AAAAAA | 8-2 | 56.58 | 1,000,000 | 1.29 | 17,313 | 9,855 | 1,172 | 193 | 5,180.35 |
| Effingham County | 2 – AAAAAA | 6-3 | 52.52 | 1,000,000 | 1.79 | 213,426 | 14,043 | 1,090 | 128 | 7,811.50 |
| Lanier | 8 – AAAAAA | 6-3 | 54.38 | 1,000,000 | 1.29 | 43,041 | 7,468 | 890 | 66 | 15,150.52 |
| Stephenson | 4 – AAAAAA | 6-3 | 50.34 | 1,000,000 | 1.67 | 166,673 | 8,384 | 597 | 43 | 23,254.81 |
| Lovejoy | 4 – AAAAAA | 6-4 | 49.79 | 1,000,000 | 1.62 | 36,283 | 3,780 | 248 | 21 | 47,618.05 |
| Sprayberry | 6 – AAAAAA | 6-3 | 50.37 | 514,258 | 0.78 | 78,027 | 3,702 | 222 | 21 | 47,618.05 |
| Sequoyah | 6 – AAAAAA | 3-6 | 48.36 | 485,742 | 0.70 | 57,826 | 2,306 | 123 | 10 | 99,999.00 |
| Alpharetta | 7 – AAAAAA | 6-3 | 51.10 | 832,041 | 0.93 | 17,578 | 1,314 | 101 | 5 | 199,999.00 |
| Gainesville | 8 – AAAAAA | 5-4 | 46.87 | 1,000,000 | 1.08 | 9,148 | 735 | 61 | 3 | 333,332.33 |
| Richmond Hill | 2 – AAAAAA | 6-2 | 43.46 | 987,674 | 1.17 | 26,507 | 759 | 32 | 3 | 333,332.33 |
| Cambridge | 7 – AAAAAA | 5-4 | 47.97 | 1,000,000 | 1.07 | 8,766 | 583 | 48 | 2 | 499,999.00 |
| Brunswick | 2 – AAAAAA | 4-5 | 45.83 | 750,448 | 1.03 | 9,945 | 822 | 34 | 1 | 999,999.00 |
| Evans | 3 – AAAAAA | 7-2 | 39.66 | 1,000,000 | 1.07 | 3,857 | 114 | 4 | – | – |
| Heritage (Conyers) | 3 – AAAAAA | 5-4 | 37.47 | 1,000,000 | 1.04 | 2,180 | 69 | 1 | – | – |
| Winder-Barrow | 8 – AAAAAA | 5-4 | 37.70 | 1,000,000 | 1.02 | 2,728 | 110 | – | – | – |
| Drew | 4 – AAAAAA | 3-6 | 36.52 | 562,469 | 0.58 | 1,057 | 26 | – | – | – |
| Lakeside (Evans) | 3 – AAAAAA | 3-6 | 28.46 | 1,000,000 | 1.01 | 238 | 9 | – | – | – |
| Grovetown | 3 – AAAAAA | 4-5 | 27.48 | 1,000,000 | 1.01 | 159 | 6 | – | – | – |
| Jonesboro | 4 – AAAAAA | 2-7 | 32.91 | 437,531 | 0.45 | 402 | 4 | – | – | – |
| Chattahoochee | 7 – AAAAAA | 5-4 | 37.28 | 167,959 | 0.17 | 192 | 2 | – | – | – |
| Bradwell Institute | 2 – AAAAAA | 3-4-1 | 30.49 | 261,878 | 0.27 | 100 | 1 | – | – | – |
| Douglas County | 5 – AAAAAA | 6-3 | 58.47 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Creekside | 5 – AAAAAA | 4-5 | 53.12 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Creekview | 6 – AAAAAA | 4-5 | 51.33 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| South Paulding | 5 – AAAAAA | 2-7 | 34.78 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Pope | 7 – AAAAAA | 2-7 | 33.23 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Habersham Central | 8 – AAAAAA | 4-5 | 33.09 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| River Ridge | 6 – AAAAAA | 2-7 | 30.99 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Mount Zion (Jonesboro) | 4 – AAAAAA | 3-6 | 30.08 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| South Cobb | 6 – AAAAAA | 1-8 | 27.83 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Northview | 7 – AAAAAA | 2-7 | 26.59 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| New Manchester | 5 – AAAAAA | 0-9 | 25.07 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Mundy’s Mill | 4 – AAAAAA | 2-8 | 24.46 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Apalachee | 8 – AAAAAA | 2-6-1 | 22.19 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| M.L. King | 4 – AAAAAA | 2-7 | 21.94 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Greenbrier | 3 – AAAAAA | 5-4 | 21.88 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| North Atlanta | 7 – AAAAAA | 1-8 | 19.29 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Dunwoody | 7 – AAAAAA | 2-7 | 18.52 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Tri-Cities | 5 – AAAAAA | 0-9 | 17.92 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Alcovy | 3 – AAAAAA | 4-5 | 13.13 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Osborne | 6 – AAAAAA | 1-7 | 6.59 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Forest Park | 4 – AAAAAA | 2-8 | 0.41 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Playoff Seeding Projections
Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.
| Region | Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 – AAAAAA | Valdosta | 1,000,000 | – | – | – | – |
| 1 – AAAAAA | Northside (Warner Robins) | – | 918,723 | – | 81,277 | – |
| 1 – AAAAAA | Lee County | – | – | 613,777 | 304,946 | 81,277 |
| 1 – AAAAAA | Coffee | – | 81,277 | 304,946 | 483,544 | 130,233 |
| 1 – AAAAAA | Houston County | – | – | 81,277 | 130,233 | 788,490 |
| 2 – AAAAAA | Glynn Academy | 1,000,000 | – | – | – | – |
| 2 – AAAAAA | Effingham County | – | 750,448 | 249,552 | – | – |
| 2 – AAAAAA | Richmond Hill | – | 249,552 | – | 738,122 | 12,326 |
| 2 – AAAAAA | Brunswick | – | – | 738,122 | 12,326 | 249,552 |
| 2 – AAAAAA | Bradwell Institute | – | – | 12,326 | 249,552 | 738,122 |
| 3 – AAAAAA | Evans | 730,875 | 269,125 | – | – | – |
| 3 – AAAAAA | Heritage (Conyers) | 269,125 | 410,746 | 320,129 | – | – |
| 3 – AAAAAA | Lakeside (Evans) | – | 297,970 | 365,748 | 336,282 | – |
| 3 – AAAAAA | Grovetown | – | 22,159 | 314,123 | 663,718 | – |
| 3 – AAAAAA | Greenbrier | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 3 – AAAAAA | Alcovy | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 4 – AAAAAA | Tucker | 864,860 | 31,570 | 103,570 | – | – |
| 4 – AAAAAA | Lovejoy | – | 949,965 | 50,035 | – | – |
| 4 – AAAAAA | Stephenson | 135,140 | 18,465 | 846,395 | – | – |
| 4 – AAAAAA | Drew | – | – | – | 562,469 | 437,531 |
| 4 – AAAAAA | Jonesboro | – | – | – | 437,531 | 562,469 |
| 4 – AAAAAA | Mount Zion (Jonesboro) | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 4 – AAAAAA | Forest Park | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 4 – AAAAAA | M.L. King | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 4 – AAAAAA | Mundy’s Mill | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 5 – AAAAAA | Mays | 746,272 | 116,320 | 137,408 | – | – |
| 5 – AAAAAA | Alexander | 117,481 | 824,543 | 57,976 | – | – |
| 5 – AAAAAA | Northgate | 136,247 | 59,137 | 804,616 | – | – |
| 5 – AAAAAA | Hughes | – | – | – | 1,000,000 | – |
| 5 – AAAAAA | Creekside | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 5 – AAAAAA | Douglas County | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 5 – AAAAAA | South Paulding | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 5 – AAAAAA | Tri-Cities | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 5 – AAAAAA | New Manchester | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 6 – AAAAAA | Dalton | 915,099 | 58,820 | 26,081 | – | – |
| 6 – AAAAAA | Harrison | 61,870 | 924,003 | 14,127 | – | – |
| 6 – AAAAAA | Allatoona | 23,031 | 17,177 | 959,792 | – | – |
| 6 – AAAAAA | Sprayberry | – | – | – | 514,258 | 485,742 |
| 6 – AAAAAA | Sequoyah | – | – | – | 485,742 | 514,258 |
| 6 – AAAAAA | Creekview | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 6 – AAAAAA | Osborne | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 6 – AAAAAA | River Ridge | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 6 – AAAAAA | South Cobb | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 7 – AAAAAA | Johns Creek | 980,896 | 15,941 | 3,163 | – | – |
| 7 – AAAAAA | Centennial | 19,104 | 980,896 | – | – | – |
| 7 – AAAAAA | Cambridge | – | 3,163 | 185,620 | 811,217 | – |
| 7 – AAAAAA | Alpharetta | – | – | 811,175 | 20,866 | 167,959 |
| 7 – AAAAAA | Chattahoochee | – | – | 42 | 167,917 | 832,041 |
| 7 – AAAAAA | Dunwoody | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 7 – AAAAAA | North Atlanta | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 7 – AAAAAA | Northview | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 7 – AAAAAA | Pope | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 8 – AAAAAA | Dacula | 1,000,000 | – | – | – | – |
| 8 – AAAAAA | Lanier | – | 720,801 | 279,199 | – | – |
| 8 – AAAAAA | Gainesville | – | 279,199 | 720,801 | – | – |
| 8 – AAAAAA | Winder-Barrow | – | – | – | 1,000,000 | – |
| 8 – AAAAAA | Habersham Central | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 8 – AAAAAA | Apalachee | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
Modal Bracket
Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.
Playoff Projections by Region
Each region is shown with the number of times it has teams represented in the semifinals and the finals and the number of times a representative of the region won the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Teams in Semifinals | Teams in Finals | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Region | Eliminated | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | 4 | Eliminated | 1+ | 2 | Champion | Odds |
| 4 – AAAAA | 68,410 | 931,590 | 363,432 | 14,731 | 77 | 322,170 | 677,830 | 92,965 | 446,209 | 1.24 |
| 8 – AAAAA | 294,935 | 705,065 | 39,380 | 119 | – | 467,568 | 532,432 | 4,245 | 290,099 | 2.45 |
| 7 – AAAAA | 168,518 | 831,482 | 344,142 | 49,226 | 74 | 555,221 | 444,779 | 63,462 | 216,635 | 3.62 |
| 2 – AAAAA | 765,054 | 234,946 | 32 | – | – | 935,146 | 64,854 | – | 21,758 | 44.96 |
| 6 – AAAAA | 776,805 | 223,195 | 3,375 | 1 | – | 935,928 | 64,072 | 105 | 15,977 | 61.59 |
| 3 – AAAAA | 878,501 | 121,499 | 3,438 | 22 | – | 975,817 | 24,183 | 101 | 4,188 | 237.78 |
| 1 – AAAAA | 924,508 | 75,492 | 1,666 | 12 | – | 980,510 | 19,490 | 44 | 3,292 | 302.77 |
| 5 – AAAAA | 943,079 | 56,921 | 80 | – | – | 988,562 | 11,438 | – | 1,842 | 541.89 |
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Record | Rating | Playoffs | Avg Depth | Qtrfinals | Semifinals | Finals | Champion | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stockbridge | 4 – AAAAA | 9-0 | 76.19 | 1,000,000 | 4.85 | 952,895 | 884,272 | 620,565 | 395,399 | 1.53 |
| Buford | 8 – AAAAA | 8-1 | 75.11 | 1,000,000 | 4.37 | 878,266 | 687,159 | 528,536 | 288,749 | 2.46 |
| Rome | 7 – AAAAA | 7-2 | 70.69 | 1,000,000 | 4.01 | 906,927 | 673,796 | 284,866 | 144,096 | 5.94 |
| Woodland (Stockbridge) | 4 – AAAAA | 7-2 | 67.02 | 1,000,000 | 3.16 | 597,966 | 382,238 | 138,636 | 48,740 | 19.52 |
| Carrollton | 7 – AAAAA | 8-1 | 66.13 | 1,000,000 | 3.09 | 719,540 | 228,100 | 122,067 | 40,565 | 23.65 |
| Kell | 7 – AAAAA | 7-2 | 65.12 | 1,000,000 | 3.07 | 687,053 | 321,527 | 101,225 | 31,972 | 30.28 |
| Ware County | 2 – AAAAA | 5-3 | 63.18 | 1,000,000 | 2.81 | 646,490 | 234,951 | 64,854 | 21,758 | 44.96 |
| Grady | 6 – AAAAA | 8-1 | 62.02 | 1,000,000 | 2.66 | 401,320 | 210,535 | 62,169 | 15,766 | 62.43 |
| Griffin | 3 – AAAAA | 8-1 | 57.59 | 1,000,000 | 2.18 | 301,004 | 89,368 | 19,672 | 3,648 | 273.12 |
| Thomas County Central | 1 – AAAAA | 6-3 | 57.17 | 1,000,000 | 2.13 | 258,948 | 49,800 | 16,612 | 2,971 | 335.59 |
| Jones County | 4 – AAAAA | 6-3 | 57.16 | 1,000,000 | 2.11 | 119,716 | 37,170 | 11,076 | 2,022 | 493.56 |
| Arabia Mountain | 5 – AAAAA | 8-1 | 53.08 | 1,000,000 | 2.35 | 486,265 | 56,267 | 11,413 | 1,838 | 543.07 |
| Loganville | 8 – AAAAA | 7-2 | 54.43 | 1,000,000 | 2.24 | 288,114 | 54,200 | 7,864 | 1,333 | 749.19 |
| Starr’s Mill | 3 – AAAAA | 5-4 | 50.65 | 1,000,000 | 1.86 | 239,552 | 23,653 | 3,450 | 422 | 2,368.67 |
| Carver (Atlanta) | 6 – AAAAA | 7-2 | 48.73 | 1,000,000 | 1.73 | 36,109 | 15,526 | 1,991 | 211 | 4,738.34 |
| Bainbridge | 1 – AAAAA | 3-5 | 49.90 | 1,000,000 | 1.67 | 111,942 | 15,610 | 1,809 | 211 | 4,738.34 |
| Whitewater | 3 – AAAAA | 7-2 | 48.32 | 1,000,000 | 1.57 | 81,684 | 11,262 | 1,112 | 112 | 8,927.57 |
| Warner Robins | 1 – AAAAA | 3-6 | 47.06 | 1,000,000 | 1.53 | 101,373 | 8,607 | 905 | 97 | 10,308.28 |
| Ola | 4 – AAAAA | 5-4 | 48.28 | 994,124 | 1.21 | 55,346 | 6,093 | 510 | 48 | 20,832.33 |
| Clarke Central | 8 – AAAAA | 6-4 | 43.55 | 1,000,000 | 1.34 | 10,887 | 3,188 | 277 | 17 | 58,822.53 |
| Veterans | 1 – AAAAA | 5-5 | 44.77 | 1,000,000 | 1.26 | 33,319 | 3,154 | 208 | 13 | 76,922.08 |
| Riverdale | 3 – AAAAA | 6-3 | 41.47 | 1,000,000 | 1.19 | 11,611 | 677 | 50 | 6 | 166,665.67 |
| Southwest DeKalb | 5 – AAAAA | 5-4 | 37.59 | 1,000,000 | 1.10 | 14,809 | 725 | 25 | 4 | 249,999.00 |
| Villa Rica | 7 – AAAAA | 5-5 | 39.52 | 1,000,000 | 1.24 | 45,148 | 1,500 | 83 | 2 | 499,999.00 |
| Riverwood | 6 – AAAAA | 4-5 | 37.06 | 852,119 | 0.96 | 8,913 | 442 | 14 | – | – |
| Locust Grove | 4 – AAAAA | 6-3 | 50.29 | 5,876 | 0.01 | 431 | 58 | 8 | – | – |
| Banneker | 6 – AAAAA | 5-4 | 32.60 | 277,985 | 0.29 | 924 | 43 | 3 | – | – |
| North Springs | 6 – AAAAA | 5-4 | 30.36 | 862,133 | 0.88 | 1,066 | 25 | – | – | – |
| Wayne County | 2 – AAAAA | 2-7 | 28.51 | 1,000,000 | 1.06 | 757 | 24 | – | – | – |
| Walnut Grove | 8 – AAAAA | 3-6 | 28.20 | 972,297 | 1.00 | 550 | 17 | – | – | – |
| Lithonia | 5 – AAAAA | 4-5 | 24.74 | 1,000,000 | 1.02 | 792 | 10 | – | – | – |
| South Effingham | 2 – AAAAA | 1-8 | 19.89 | 1,000,000 | 1.01 | 167 | 2 | – | – | – |
| New Hampstead | 2 – AAAAA | 2-5-1 | 15.85 | 1,000,000 | 1.00 | 66 | 1 | – | – | – |
| Miller Grove | 5 – AAAAA | 3-6 | 13.37 | 613,129 | 0.61 | 19 | – | – | – | – |
| Chamblee | 5 – AAAAA | 1-8 | 0.85 | 386,871 | 0.39 | 14 | – | – | – | – |
| Cedar Shoals | 8 – AAAAA | 4-5 | 26.43 | 24,686 | 0.03 | 14 | – | – | – | – |
| Maynard Jackson | 6 – AAAAA | 3-6 | 21.84 | 7,763 | 0.01 | 2 | – | – | – | – |
| Flowery Branch | 8 – AAAAA | 3-6 | 27.98 | 3,017 | 0.00 | 1 | – | – | – | – |
| Dutchtown | 4 – AAAAA | 5-4 | 48.39 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| East Paulding | 7 – AAAAA | 3-6 | 42.28 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Eagle’s Landing | 4 – AAAAA | 2-8 | 40.62 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Paulding County | 7 – AAAAA | 4-5 | 40.39 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Hiram | 7 – AAAAA | 4-5 | 39.99 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Fayette County | 3 – AAAAA | 4-4-1 | 35.48 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Cass | 7 – AAAAA | 3-6 | 34.34 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Harris County | 1 – AAAAA | 3-6 | 34.23 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| McIntosh | 3 – AAAAA | 4-5 | 26.33 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Union Grove | 4 – AAAAA | 1-7-1 | 23.23 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Hampton | 4 – AAAAA | 1-8 | 19.51 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Woodland (Cartersville) | 7 – AAAAA | 0-9 | 15.26 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Columbia | 5 – AAAAA | 3-6 | 12.01 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Morrow | 3 – AAAAA | 1-9 | 10.56 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Statesboro | 2 – AAAAA | 0-9 | 9.59 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Lithia Springs | 6 – AAAAA | 1-8 | 9.19 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Decatur | 6 – AAAAA | 1-8 | 7.06 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Johnson (Gainesville) | 8 – AAAAA | 0-9 | -9.58 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Clarkston | 5 – AAAAA | 1-8 | -29.84 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Cross Keys | 5 – AAAAA | 1-5 | -48.00 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Playoff Seeding Projections
Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.
| Region | Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 – AAAAA | Thomas County Central | 923,729 | 47,252 | 29,019 | – | – |
| 1 – AAAAA | Bainbridge | 47,252 | 598,590 | 354,158 | – | – |
| 1 – AAAAA | Warner Robins | 29,019 | 354,158 | 569,571 | 47,252 | – |
| 1 – AAAAA | Veterans | – | – | 47,252 | 952,748 | – |
| 1 – AAAAA | Harris County | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 2 – AAAAA | Ware County | 998,307 | 1,512 | 181 | – | – |
| 2 – AAAAA | Wayne County | 1,025 | 998,331 | 644 | – | – |
| 2 – AAAAA | South Effingham | – | – | 571,469 | 428,531 | – |
| 2 – AAAAA | New Hampstead | 668 | 157 | 427,706 | 571,469 | – |
| 2 – AAAAA | Statesboro | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 3 – AAAAA | Griffin | 783,103 | 87,634 | 1,035 | 128,228 | – |
| 3 – AAAAA | Starr’s Mill | 88,730 | 742,235 | 169,035 | – | – |
| 3 – AAAAA | Whitewater | 128,167 | 169,035 | 690,352 | 12,446 | – |
| 3 – AAAAA | Riverdale | – | 1,096 | 139,578 | 859,326 | – |
| 3 – AAAAA | Fayette County | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 3 – AAAAA | McIntosh | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 3 – AAAAA | Morrow | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 4 – AAAAA | Stockbridge | 1,000,000 | – | – | – | – |
| 4 – AAAAA | Woodland (Stockbridge) | – | 1,000,000 | – | – | – |
| 4 – AAAAA | Jones County | – | – | 1,000,000 | – | – |
| 4 – AAAAA | Ola | – | – | – | 994,124 | 5,876 |
| 4 – AAAAA | Locust Grove | – | – | – | 5,876 | 994,124 |
| 4 – AAAAA | Dutchtown | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 4 – AAAAA | Eagle’s Landing | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 4 – AAAAA | Union Grove | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 4 – AAAAA | Hampton | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 5 – AAAAA | Arabia Mountain | 949,235 | 27,499 | 23,266 | – | – |
| 5 – AAAAA | Southwest DeKalb | 37,697 | 959,876 | 2,427 | – | – |
| 5 – AAAAA | Lithonia | 13,068 | 12,625 | 974,307 | – | – |
| 5 – AAAAA | Miller Grove | – | – | – | 613,129 | 386,871 |
| 5 – AAAAA | Chamblee | – | – | – | 386,871 | 613,129 |
| 5 – AAAAA | Columbia | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 5 – AAAAA | Clarkston | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 5 – AAAAA | Cross Keys | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 6 – AAAAA | Grady | 1,000,000 | – | – | – | – |
| 6 – AAAAA | Carver (Atlanta) | – | 1,000,000 | – | – | – |
| 6 – AAAAA | Riverwood | – | – | 722,015 | 130,104 | 147,881 |
| 6 – AAAAA | North Springs | – | – | 132,085 | 730,048 | 137,867 |
| 6 – AAAAA | Banneker | – | – | 145,900 | 132,085 | 722,015 |
| 6 – AAAAA | Maynard Jackson | – | – | – | 7,763 | 992,237 |
| 6 – AAAAA | Decatur | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 6 – AAAAA | Lithia Springs | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 7 – AAAAA | Rome | 965,416 | 30,233 | 4,351 | – | – |
| 7 – AAAAA | Carrollton | 4,351 | 965,416 | 30,233 | – | – |
| 7 – AAAAA | Kell | 30,233 | 4,351 | 965,416 | – | – |
| 7 – AAAAA | Villa Rica | – | – | – | 1,000,000 | – |
| 7 – AAAAA | East Paulding | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 7 – AAAAA | Paulding County | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 7 – AAAAA | Cass | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 7 – AAAAA | Hiram | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 7 – AAAAA | Woodland (Cartersville) | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 8 – AAAAA | Buford | 1,000,000 | – | – | – | – |
| 8 – AAAAA | Loganville | – | 1,000,000 | – | – | – |
| 8 – AAAAA | Clarke Central | – | – | 1,000,000 | – | – |
| 8 – AAAAA | Walnut Grove | – | – | – | 972,297 | 27,703 |
| 8 – AAAAA | Cedar Shoals | – | – | – | 24,686 | 975,314 |
| 8 – AAAAA | Flowery Branch | – | – | – | 3,017 | 996,983 |
| 8 – AAAAA | Johnson (Gainesville) | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
Modal Bracket
Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.
Playoff Projections by Region
Each region is shown with the number of times it has teams represented in the semifinals and the finals and the number of times a representative of the region won the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Teams in Semifinals | Teams in Finals | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Region | Eliminated | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | 4 | Eliminated | 1+ | 2 | Champion | Odds |
| 5 – AAAA | 110,699 | 889,301 | 373,284 | 51,944 | 2,042 | 182,873 | 817,127 | 121,868 | 669,053 | 0.49 |
| 3 – AAAA | 222,791 | 777,209 | 4,749 | – | – | 380,024 | 619,976 | 1,006 | 212,983 | 3.70 |
| 4 – AAAA | 770,966 | 229,034 | 9,683 | 8 | – | 838,505 | 161,495 | 1,807 | 71,997 | 12.89 |
| 8 – AAAA | 510,609 | 489,391 | 60,245 | 456 | 1 | 872,219 | 127,781 | 1,058 | 19,803 | 49.50 |
| 2 – AAAA | 506,349 | 493,651 | 20,978 | 195 | – | 940,905 | 59,095 | 265 | 14,124 | 69.80 |
| 1 – AAAA | 753,773 | 246,227 | 12,174 | 15 | – | 950,112 | 49,888 | 87 | 5,821 | 170.79 |
| 7 – AAAA | 710,007 | 289,993 | 9,926 | 13 | – | 969,478 | 30,522 | 140 | 5,789 | 171.74 |
| 6 – AAAA | 960,660 | 39,340 | 136 | – | – | 992,115 | 7,885 | – | 430 | 2,324.58 |
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Record | Rating | Playoffs | Avg Depth | Qtrfinals | Semifinals | Finals | Champion | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cartersville | 5 – AAAA | 9-0 | 85.32 | 1,000,000 | 5.20 | 963,346 | 822,706 | 778,649 | 639,467 | 0.56 |
| Thomson | 3 – AAAA | 9-0 | 74.06 | 1,000,000 | 4.41 | 828,613 | 775,837 | 618,849 | 212,726 | 3.70 |
| Woodward Academy | 4 – AAAA | 9-1 | 70.22 | 1,000,000 | 3.16 | 836,432 | 187,119 | 150,065 | 71,016 | 13.08 |
| Sandy Creek | 5 – AAAA | 6-3 | 65.67 | 1,000,000 | 2.73 | 507,836 | 331,709 | 115,861 | 24,307 | 40.14 |
| Jefferson | 8 – AAAA | 8-1 | 60.73 | 1,000,000 | 3.31 | 796,141 | 410,941 | 117,912 | 18,262 | 53.76 |
| Mary Persons | 2 – AAAA | 7-2 | 59.18 | 1,000,000 | 3.21 | 700,899 | 470,282 | 53,520 | 13,779 | 71.57 |
| Cairo | 1 – AAAA | 8-1 | 57.45 | 1,000,000 | 2.63 | 399,522 | 196,736 | 47,481 | 5,574 | 178.40 |
| Blessed Trinity | 7 – AAAA | 7-2 | 56.51 | 1,000,000 | 2.41 | 496,375 | 243,121 | 23,943 | 5,058 | 196.71 |
| Troup | 5 – AAAA | 8-1 | 57.49 | 1,000,000 | 2.17 | 159,901 | 100,096 | 41,192 | 4,744 | 209.79 |
| Stephens County | 8 – AAAA | 7-2 | 52.77 | 1,000,000 | 2.19 | 237,722 | 101,858 | 6,936 | 1,152 | 867.06 |
| Eastside | 4 – AAAA | 6-2-1 | 51.35 | 1,000,000 | 2.18 | 423,516 | 50,854 | 13,216 | 981 | 1,018.37 |
| Marist | 7 – AAAA | 6-3 | 53.24 | 1,000,000 | 1.50 | 141,665 | 55,072 | 6,532 | 727 | 1,374.52 |
| Cedartown | 5 – AAAA | 5-4 | 52.34 | 644,046 | 1.09 | 156,802 | 53,928 | 3,057 | 514 | 1,944.53 |
| Ridgeland | 6 – AAAA | 7-1 | 47.30 | 1,000,000 | 2.16 | 369,413 | 35,981 | 7,730 | 423 | 2,363.07 |
| Oconee County | 8 – AAAA | 7-2 | 50.15 | 1,000,000 | 1.96 | 162,150 | 35,288 | 3,828 | 383 | 2,609.97 |
| Burke County | 3 – AAAA | 7-2 | 51.25 | 1,000,000 | 1.79 | 32,103 | 6,032 | 2,133 | 257 | 3,890.05 |
| Carver (Columbus) | 1 – AAAA | 5-4 | 47.69 | 998,376 | 2.00 | 206,070 | 53,005 | 2,237 | 228 | 4,384.96 |
| Upson-Lee | 2 – AAAA | 6-3 | 46.63 | 1,000,000 | 1.85 | 160,234 | 25,360 | 2,944 | 151 | 6,621.52 |
| Spalding | 2 – AAAA | 5-4 | 49.60 | 1,000,000 | 1.32 | 82,624 | 10,489 | 1,793 | 146 | 6,848.32 |
| West Laurens | 2 – AAAA | 5-4 | 43.84 | 868,675 | 1.34 | 120,987 | 8,692 | 1,102 | 48 | 20,832.33 |
| Chapel Hill | 5 – AAAA | 4-4-1 | 45.27 | 355,954 | 0.48 | 38,815 | 8,133 | 236 | 21 | 47,618.05 |
| Hardaway | 1 – AAAA | 5-3 | 39.84 | 328,828 | 0.66 | 48,722 | 6,949 | 142 | 13 | 76,922.08 |
| Northside (Columbus) | 1 – AAAA | 6-3 | 38.68 | 1,000,000 | 1.18 | 8,506 | 1,078 | 45 | 5 | 199,999.00 |
| West Hall | 7 – AAAA | 6-3 | 40.80 | 1,000,000 | 1.14 | 6,018 | 1,737 | 187 | 4 | 249,999.00 |
| St. Pius X | 8 – AAAA | 1-8 | 38.91 | 641,670 | 0.86 | 41,095 | 1,636 | 133 | 4 | 249,999.00 |
| Pickens | 6 – AAAA | 5-4 | 37.59 | 1,000,000 | 1.17 | 18,403 | 2,835 | 60 | 4 | 249,999.00 |
| Northwest Whitfield | 6 – AAAA | 7-3 | 39.28 | 1,000,000 | 1.29 | 19,753 | 587 | 95 | 3 | 333,332.33 |
| Madison County | 8 – AAAA | 6-3 | 35.05 | 358,330 | 0.44 | 12,802 | 370 | 30 | 2 | 499,999.00 |
| Americus-Sumter | 1 – AAAA | 4-5 | 40.22 | 482,836 | 0.50 | 2,071 | 596 | 65 | 1 | 999,999.00 |
| Luella | 4 – AAAA | 4-5 | 32.97 | 914,740 | 1.08 | 11,150 | 588 | 21 | – | – |
| Columbus | 1 – AAAA | 3-6 | 34.41 | 189,960 | 0.19 | 283 | 53 | 5 | – | – |
| Perry | 2 – AAAA | 3-6 | 30.78 | 131,325 | 0.13 | 317 | 3 | 1 | – | – |
| Salem | 4 – AAAA | 5-4 | 26.66 | 853,472 | 0.88 | 1,901 | 129 | – | – | – |
| Baldwin | 3 – AAAA | 4-5 | 23.38 | 1,000,000 | 1.08 | 2,955 | 88 | – | – | – |
| Heritage (Ringgold) | 6 – AAAA | 6-3 | 25.08 | 1,000,000 | 1.03 | 2,870 | 74 | – | – | – |
| North Clayton | 4 – AAAA | 5-4 | 25.11 | 231,715 | 0.25 | 1,591 | 34 | – | – | – |
| Chestatee | 7 – AAAA | 4-6 | 23.21 | 1,000,000 | 1.00 | 218 | 2 | – | – | – |
| Cross Creek | 3 – AAAA | 5-4 | 13.10 | 1,000,000 | 1.02 | 179 | 2 | – | – | – |
| Druid Hills | 4 – AAAA | 3-6 | 7.47 | 73 | 0.00 | – | – | – | – | – |
| LaGrange | 5 – AAAA | 2-8 | 40.12 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Westover | 1 – AAAA | 4-5 | 35.38 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Shaw | 1 – AAAA | 1-8 | 20.12 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Howard | 2 – AAAA | 1-8 | 18.86 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Central (Carrollton) | 5 – AAAA | 0-9 | 17.75 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| White County | 7 – AAAA | 1-8 | 16.85 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| North Oconee | 8 – AAAA | 0-9 | 12.79 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Southeast Whitfield | 6 – AAAA | 5-4 | 10.28 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Richmond Academy | 3 – AAAA | 3-5 | 9.24 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LaFayette | 6 – AAAA | 2-7 | 2.79 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Gilmer | 6 – AAAA | 0-9 | 1.11 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Henry County | 4 – AAAA | 0-9 | -1.00 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Hephzibah | 3 – AAAA | 0-9 | -24.41 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Playoff Seeding Projections
Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.
| Region | Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 – AAAA | Cairo | 1,000,000 | – | – | – | – |
| 1 – AAAA | Carver (Columbus) | – | 660,622 | 321,862 | 15,892 | 1,624 |
| 1 – AAAA | Northside (Columbus) | – | 38,382 | 660,622 | 300,996 | – |
| 1 – AAAA | Americus-Sumter | – | – | – | 482,836 | 517,164 |
| 1 – AAAA | Hardaway | – | 300,996 | 17,516 | 10,316 | 671,172 |
| 1 – AAAA | Columbus | – | – | – | 189,960 | 810,040 |
| 1 – AAAA | Westover | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 1 – AAAA | Shaw | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 2 – AAAA | Mary Persons | 1,000,000 | – | – | – | – |
| 2 – AAAA | Upson-Lee | – | 713,457 | 218,349 | 68,194 | – |
| 2 – AAAA | Spalding | – | 150,247 | 58,201 | 791,552 | – |
| 2 – AAAA | West Laurens | – | 136,296 | 721,410 | 10,969 | 131,325 |
| 2 – AAAA | Perry | – | – | 2,040 | 129,285 | 868,675 |
| 2 – AAAA | Howard | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 3 – AAAA | Thomson | 1,000,000 | – | – | – | – |
| 3 – AAAA | Burke County | – | 1,000,000 | – | – | – |
| 3 – AAAA | Baldwin | – | – | 712,897 | 287,103 | – |
| 3 – AAAA | Cross Creek | – | – | 287,103 | 712,897 | – |
| 3 – AAAA | Richmond Academy | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 3 – AAAA | Hephzibah | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 4 – AAAA | Woodward Academy | 1,000,000 | – | – | – | – |
| 4 – AAAA | Eastside | – | 925,472 | 74,528 | – | – |
| 4 – AAAA | Luella | – | – | 900,132 | 14,608 | 85,260 |
| 4 – AAAA | Salem | – | – | – | 853,472 | 146,528 |
| 4 – AAAA | North Clayton | – | 74,528 | 25,340 | 131,847 | 768,285 |
| 4 – AAAA | Druid Hills | – | – | – | 73 | 999,927 |
| 4 – AAAA | Henry County | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 5 – AAAA | Cartersville | 951,593 | 48,407 | – | – | – |
| 5 – AAAA | Troup | 48,407 | 951,593 | – | – | – |
| 5 – AAAA | Sandy Creek | – | – | 1,000,000 | – | – |
| 5 – AAAA | Cedartown | – | – | – | 644,046 | 355,954 |
| 5 – AAAA | Chapel Hill | – | – | – | 355,954 | 644,046 |
| 5 – AAAA | LaGrange | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 5 – AAAA | Central (Carrollton) | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 6 – AAAA | Ridgeland | 973,061 | 4,978 | 21,961 | – | – |
| 6 – AAAA | Northwest Whitfield | 26,939 | 973,061 | – | – | – |
| 6 – AAAA | Pickens | – | 21,961 | 792,690 | 185,349 | – |
| 6 – AAAA | Heritage (Ringgold) | – | – | 185,349 | 814,651 | – |
| 6 – AAAA | Southeast Whitfield | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 6 – AAAA | Gilmer | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 6 – AAAA | LaFayette | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 7 – AAAA | Blessed Trinity | 854,382 | 125,801 | 19,817 | – | – |
| 7 – AAAA | Marist | 142,554 | 854,382 | 3,064 | – | – |
| 7 – AAAA | West Hall | 3,064 | 19,817 | 977,119 | – | – |
| 7 – AAAA | Chestatee | – | – | – | 1,000,000 | – |
| 7 – AAAA | White County | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 8 – AAAA | Jefferson | 930,980 | 66,254 | 2,766 | – | – |
| 8 – AAAA | Stephens County | – | 722,741 | 277,259 | – | – |
| 8 – AAAA | Oconee County | 69,020 | 211,005 | 719,975 | – | – |
| 8 – AAAA | St. Pius X | – | – | – | 641,670 | 358,330 |
| 8 – AAAA | Madison County | – | – | – | 358,330 | 641,670 |
| 8 – AAAA | North Oconee | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
Modal Bracket
Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.
Playoff Projections by Region
Each region is shown with the number of times it has teams represented in the semifinals and the finals and the number of times a representative of the region won the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Teams in Semifinals | Teams in Finals | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Region | Eliminated | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | 4 | Eliminated | 1+ | 2 | Champion | Odds |
| 7 – AAA | 240,411 | 759,589 | 78,059 | 272 | – | 427,765 | 572,235 | 7,514 | 448,402 | 1.23 |
| 5 – AAA | 195,403 | 804,597 | 346,022 | 56,467 | 1,683 | 520,664 | 479,336 | 71,901 | 240,528 | 3.16 |
| 6 – AAA | 487,515 | 512,485 | 20,462 | 225 | 1 | 686,578 | 313,422 | 965 | 110,630 | 8.04 |
| 4 – AAA | 520,268 | 479,732 | 65,094 | 2,146 | 10 | 789,219 | 210,781 | 5,516 | 100,535 | 8.95 |
| 1 – AAA | 471,396 | 528,604 | 45,956 | 493 | – | 731,039 | 268,961 | 2,238 | 86,270 | 10.59 |
| 2 – AAA | 773,700 | 226,300 | 14,720 | 31 | – | 941,482 | 58,518 | 449 | 13,078 | 75.46 |
| 8 – AAA | 956,268 | 43,732 | 15 | – | – | 993,929 | 6,071 | – | 439 | 2,276.90 |
| 3 – AAA | 986,706 | 13,294 | 13 | – | – | 997,908 | 2,092 | 1 | 118 | 8,473.58 |
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Record | Rating | Playoffs | Avg Depth | Qtrfinals | Semifinals | Finals | Champion | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greater Atlanta Christian | 7 – AAA | 8-1 | 69.82 | 1,000,000 | 4.53 | 832,623 | 773,683 | 565,802 | 446,511 | 1.24 |
| Westminster (Atlanta) | 5 – AAA | 7-2 | 61.84 | 1,000,000 | 3.89 | 909,900 | 593,842 | 264,573 | 161,362 | 5.20 |
| Calhoun | 6 – AAA | 7-2 | 58.95 | 999,445 | 3.65 | 743,053 | 491,411 | 310,047 | 110,132 | 8.08 |
| Peach County | 4 – AAA | 8-1 | 59.77 | 1,000,000 | 3.46 | 806,671 | 412,783 | 184,803 | 95,472 | 9.47 |
| Crisp County | 1 – AAA | 9-0 | 57.47 | 1,000,000 | 3.40 | 577,607 | 486,380 | 256,381 | 84,222 | 10.87 |
| Cedar Grove | 5 – AAA | 7-2 | 55.81 | 1,000,000 | 3.40 | 840,168 | 368,673 | 199,368 | 57,246 | 16.47 |
| Lovett | 5 – AAA | 6-3 | 53.83 | 1,000,000 | 2.22 | 276,718 | 209,915 | 79,806 | 19,957 | 49.11 |
| Liberty County | 2 – AAA | 8-1 | 49.31 | 1,000,000 | 2.71 | 663,797 | 169,114 | 47,157 | 11,759 | 84.04 |
| Jackson | 4 – AAA | 7-2 | 46.67 | 1,000,000 | 2.28 | 306,599 | 89,286 | 25,386 | 4,536 | 219.46 |
| Pace Academy | 5 – AAA | 5-4 | 47.80 | 952,031 | 1.18 | 63,441 | 36,335 | 7,490 | 1,963 | 508.42 |
| Worth County | 1 – AAA | 6-3 | 42.94 | 1,000,000 | 2.17 | 145,988 | 76,212 | 13,563 | 1,898 | 525.87 |
| Dawson County | 7 – AAA | 7-1 | 45.15 | 1,000,000 | 1.52 | 102,615 | 60,610 | 13,585 | 1,879 | 531.20 |
| Pierce County | 2 – AAA | 7-2 | 41.40 | 1,000,000 | 2.11 | 406,478 | 69,599 | 11,629 | 1,313 | 760.61 |
| Westside (Macon) | 4 – AAA | 5-4 | 40.42 | 1,000,000 | 1.64 | 221,908 | 39,190 | 5,713 | 492 | 2,031.52 |
| Morgan County | 8 – AAA | 7-2 | 37.05 | 1,000,000 | 2.03 | 273,756 | 43,400 | 6,068 | 439 | 2,276.90 |
| Sonoraville | 6 – AAA | 6-3 | 39.84 | 894,540 | 1.94 | 210,948 | 23,386 | 2,660 | 380 | 2,630.58 |
| Cook | 1 – AAA | 4-5 | 38.38 | 826,519 | 1.50 | 60,745 | 10,851 | 1,147 | 141 | 7,091.20 |
| Jenkins | 3 – AAA | 8-1 | 34.33 | 1,000,000 | 1.87 | 112,765 | 12,234 | 2,051 | 118 | 8,473.58 |
| Bremen | 6 – AAA | 5-4 | 33.90 | 880,608 | 1.69 | 179,335 | 16,520 | 1,622 | 118 | 8,473.58 |
| Pike County | 4 – AAA | 5-4 | 34.33 | 886,851 | 1.16 | 88,097 | 5,459 | 380 | 34 | 29,410.76 |
| North Hall | 7 – AAA | 6-4 | 31.33 | 1,000,000 | 1.06 | 17,441 | 1,752 | 144 | 7 | 142,856.14 |
| Monroe | 1 – AAA | 2-5 | 32.12 | 277,213 | 0.45 | 10,568 | 1,247 | 87 | 7 | 142,856.14 |
| Union County | 7 – AAA | 7-2 | 31.68 | 852,900 | 0.94 | 26,268 | 1,848 | 217 | 5 | 199,999.00 |
| Appling County | 2 – AAA | 4-4 | 30.39 | 678,287 | 0.74 | 20,759 | 1,321 | 63 | 4 | 249,999.00 |
| Brantley County | 2 – AAA | 5-3 | 31.50 | 1,000,000 | 1.14 | 7,356 | 929 | 116 | 2 | 499,999.00 |
| Dougherty | 1 – AAA | 2-7 | 24.04 | 896,268 | 1.11 | 10,364 | 364 | 21 | 2 | 499,999.00 |
| Central (Macon) | 4 – AAA | 6-4 | 29.94 | 110,919 | 0.13 | 6,254 | 263 | 15 | 1 | 999,999.00 |
| Savannah | 3 – AAA | 6-2 | 26.64 | 1,000,000 | 1.30 | 11,117 | 959 | 39 | – | – |
| Adairsville | 6 – AAA | 3-6 | 23.32 | 560,886 | 0.70 | 17,464 | 894 | 32 | – | – |
| North Murray | 6 – AAA | 6-3 | 22.79 | 439,114 | 0.77 | 18,598 | 792 | 22 | – | – |
| Franklin County | 8 – AAA | 3-6 | 19.71 | 984,325 | 1.20 | 13,430 | 287 | 3 | – | – |
| Ringgold | 6 – AAA | 5-4 | 20.41 | 105,460 | 0.15 | 4,805 | 117 | 3 | – | – |
| Southeast Bulloch | 3 – AAA | 4-4 | 19.82 | 1,000,000 | 1.06 | 937 | 113 | 3 | – | – |
| Tattnall County | 2 – AAA | 4-5 | 21.77 | 321,713 | 0.33 | 2,787 | 89 | 2 | – | – |
| Murray County | 6 – AAA | 6-3 | 15.84 | 119,392 | 0.16 | 2,744 | 52 | 1 | – | – |
| Lumpkin County | 7 – AAA | 4-5 | 21.12 | 147,100 | 0.15 | 664 | 27 | 1 | – | – |
| Monroe Area | 8 – AAA | 3-6 | 14.77 | 761,123 | 0.82 | 3,034 | 29 | – | – | – |
| Jackson County | 8 – AAA | 3-6 | 12.72 | 621,399 | 0.71 | 2,001 | 27 | – | – | – |
| Hart County | 8 – AAA | 1-7-1 | 12.70 | 231,272 | 0.23 | 70 | 3 | – | – | – |
| Towers | 5 – AAA | 3-6 | 16.93 | 47,969 | 0.05 | 31 | 3 | – | – | – |
| Islands | 3 – AAA | 3-6 | 2.82 | 1,000,000 | 1.01 | 40 | 1 | – | – | – |
| East Jackson | 8 – AAA | 3-6 | 8.77 | 401,881 | 0.40 | 45 | – | – | – | – |
| Rutland | 4 – AAA | 2-7 | 15.68 | 2,230 | 0.00 | 11 | – | – | – | – |
| Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe | 6 – AAA | 1-8 | -14.61 | 555 | 0.00 | – | – | – | – | – |
| Redan | 5 – AAA | 3-6 | 20.18 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| East Hall | 7 – AAA | 2-7 | 16.84 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Kendrick | 4 – AAA | 0-9 | 11.46 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Long County | 2 – AAA | 1-5-2 | 9.31 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Haralson County | 6 – AAA | 2-7 | 7.56 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Fannin County | 7 – AAA | 2-7 | 6.19 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Windsor Forest | 3 – AAA | 4-5 | 2.51 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| McNair | 5 – AAA | 3-6 | 2.14 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Beach | 3 – AAA | 2-7 | -5.67 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Stone Mountain | 5 – AAA | 1-8 | -7.81 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Groves | 3 – AAA | 2-7 | -7.94 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Johnson (Savannah) | 3 – AAA | 0-7 | -18.43 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Coahulla Creek | 6 – AAA | 0-9 | -30.66 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Playoff Seeding Projections
Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.
| Region | Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 – AAA | Crisp County | 792,376 | 207,624 | – | – | – |
| 1 – AAA | Worth County | 207,624 | 792,376 | – | – | – |
| 1 – AAA | Cook | – | – | 778,906 | 47,613 | 173,481 |
| 1 – AAA | Dougherty | – | – | – | 896,268 | 103,732 |
| 1 – AAA | Monroe | – | – | 221,094 | 56,119 | 722,787 |
| 2 – AAA | Liberty County | 662,568 | 337,432 | – | – | – |
| 2 – AAA | Pierce County | 337,432 | 662,568 | – | – | – |
| 2 – AAA | Brantley County | – | – | 1,000,000 | – | – |
| 2 – AAA | Appling County | – | – | – | 678,287 | 321,713 |
| 2 – AAA | Tattnall County | – | – | – | 321,713 | 678,287 |
| 2 – AAA | Long County | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 3 – AAA | Jenkins | 1,000,000 | – | – | – | – |
| 3 – AAA | Savannah | – | 1,000,000 | – | – | – |
| 3 – AAA | Southeast Bulloch | – | – | 1,000,000 | – | – |
| 3 – AAA | Islands | – | – | – | 1,000,000 | – |
| 3 – AAA | Windsor Forest | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 3 – AAA | Beach | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 3 – AAA | Groves | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 3 – AAA | Johnson (Savannah) | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 4 – AAA | Peach County | 767,501 | 232,499 | – | – | – |
| 4 – AAA | Jackson | 232,499 | 767,501 | – | – | – |
| 4 – AAA | Westside (Macon) | – | – | 1,000,000 | – | – |
| 4 – AAA | Pike County | – | – | – | 886,851 | 113,149 |
| 4 – AAA | Central (Macon) | – | – | – | 110,919 | 889,081 |
| 4 – AAA | Rutland | – | – | – | 2,230 | 997,770 |
| 4 – AAA | Kendrick | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 5 – AAA | Westminster (Atlanta) | 1,000,000 | – | – | – | – |
| 5 – AAA | Cedar Grove | – | 1,000,000 | – | – | – |
| 5 – AAA | Lovett | – | – | 1,000,000 | – | – |
| 5 – AAA | Pace Academy | – | – | – | 952,031 | 47,969 |
| 5 – AAA | Towers | – | – | – | 47,969 | 952,031 |
| 5 – AAA | McNair | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 5 – AAA | Redan | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 5 – AAA | Stone Mountain | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 6 – AAA | Calhoun | 999,445 | – | – | – | 555 |
| 6 – AAA | Sonoraville | 274 | 501,665 | 392,601 | – | 105,460 |
| 6 – AAA | Bremen | 24 | 52,173 | 482,680 | 345,731 | 119,392 |
| 6 – AAA | North Murray | 250 | 438,864 | – | – | 560,886 |
| 6 – AAA | Adairsville | – | – | 305 | 560,581 | 439,114 |
| 6 – AAA | Murray County | 7 | 7,266 | 65,249 | 46,870 | 880,608 |
| 6 – AAA | Ringgold | – | 32 | 59,165 | 46,263 | 894,540 |
| 6 – AAA | Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe | – | – | – | 555 | 999,445 |
| 6 – AAA | Haralson County | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 6 – AAA | Coahulla Creek | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 7 – AAA | Greater Atlanta Christian | 912,057 | 87,943 | – | – | – |
| 7 – AAA | Dawson County | 87,943 | 912,057 | – | – | – |
| 7 – AAA | North Hall | – | – | 143,698 | 856,302 | – |
| 7 – AAA | Union County | – | – | 777,898 | 75,002 | 147,100 |
| 7 – AAA | Lumpkin County | – | – | 78,404 | 68,696 | 852,900 |
| 7 – AAA | East Hall | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 7 – AAA | Fannin County | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 8 – AAA | Morgan County | 1,000,000 | – | – | – | – |
| 8 – AAA | Franklin County | – | 594,117 | 378,601 | 11,607 | 15,675 |
| 8 – AAA | Monroe Area | – | 378,601 | 27,282 | 355,240 | 238,877 |
| 8 – AAA | Jackson County | – | 27,282 | 594,117 | – | 378,601 |
| 8 – AAA | East Jackson | – | – | – | 401,881 | 598,119 |
| 8 – AAA | Hart County | – | – | – | 231,272 | 768,728 |
Modal Bracket
Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.
Playoff Projections by Region
Each region is shown with the number of times it has teams represented in the semifinals and the finals and the number of times a representative of the region won the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Teams in Semifinals | Teams in Finals | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Region | Eliminated | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | 4 | Eliminated | 1+ | 2 | Champion | Odds |
| 2 – AA | 100,721 | 899,279 | 42,791 | 361 | – | 284,839 | 715,161 | 3,902 | 516,567 | 0.94 |
| 1 – AA | 460,797 | 539,203 | 58,248 | 2,014 | 20 | 545,210 | 454,790 | 5,166 | 185,699 | 4.39 |
| 8 – AA | 497,070 | 502,930 | 1,199 | – | – | 545,652 | 454,348 | 54 | 173,836 | 4.75 |
| 5 – AA | 258,367 | 741,633 | 144,681 | 473 | – | 772,353 | 227,647 | 4,958 | 104,017 | 8.61 |
| 4 – AA | 707,919 | 292,081 | 18,752 | 2 | – | 960,174 | 39,826 | 51 | 8,641 | 114.73 |
| 7 – AA | 872,814 | 127,186 | 5,235 | 65 | – | 970,091 | 29,909 | 102 | 6,166 | 161.18 |
| 3 – AA | 650,865 | 349,135 | 2,649 | 2 | – | 958,435 | 41,565 | 12 | 3,664 | 271.93 |
| 6 – AA | 732,785 | 267,215 | 4,831 | 4 | – | 977,502 | 22,498 | 11 | 1,410 | 708.22 |
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Record | Rating | Playoffs | Avg Depth | Qtrfinals | Semifinals | Finals | Champion | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benedictine | 2 – AA | 9-0 | 72.36 | 1,000,000 | 5.11 | 985,795 | 894,238 | 713,354 | 516,223 | 0.94 |
| Fitzgerald | 1 – AA | 8-1 | 65.14 | 1,000,000 | 4.00 | 909,934 | 491,169 | 442,845 | 183,241 | 4.46 |
| Rabun County | 8 – AA | 8-0 | 63.90 | 1,000,000 | 4.05 | 926,778 | 501,729 | 454,270 | 173,826 | 4.75 |
| Callaway | 5 – AA | 9-0 | 62.36 | 1,000,000 | 3.72 | 813,926 | 670,762 | 209,060 | 101,987 | 8.81 |
| Jefferson County | 4 – AA | 9-0 | 50.07 | 1,000,000 | 3.07 | 809,424 | 272,959 | 38,590 | 8,608 | 115.17 |
| Pepperell | 7 – AA | 7-1 | 50.83 | 1,000,000 | 2.53 | 560,522 | 66,283 | 24,900 | 5,835 | 170.38 |
| Washington County | 3 – AA | 7-2 | 43.54 | 1,000,000 | 2.79 | 520,036 | 344,080 | 41,163 | 3,642 | 273.57 |
| Spencer | 5 – AA | 6-3 | 43.70 | 1,000,000 | 2.26 | 333,813 | 210,572 | 22,643 | 1,989 | 501.77 |
| Hapeville Charter | 6 – AA | 6-3 | 40.03 | 1,000,000 | 2.81 | 589,869 | 244,444 | 21,655 | 1,386 | 720.50 |
| Brooks County | 1 – AA | 6-3 | 46.94 | 1,000,000 | 1.98 | 156,708 | 80,022 | 8,054 | 1,360 | 734.29 |
| Thomasville | 1 – AA | 5-3 | 44.63 | 1,000,000 | 2.19 | 346,134 | 26,511 | 9,029 | 1,098 | 909.75 |
| Vidalia | 2 – AA | 7-2 | 40.18 | 1,000,000 | 1.95 | 69,102 | 9,344 | 4,131 | 287 | 3,483.32 |
| Rockmart | 7 – AA | 7-2 | 38.06 | 1,000,000 | 1.46 | 73,294 | 26,157 | 2,212 | 147 | 6,801.72 |
| Model | 7 – AA | 7-2 | 39.44 | 1,000,000 | 1.25 | 59,306 | 26,141 | 1,858 | 144 | 6,943.44 |
| Toombs County | 2 – AA | 6-3 | 33.14 | 1,000,000 | 1.63 | 166,304 | 38,371 | 1,575 | 57 | 17,542.86 |
| Chattooga | 7 – AA | 6-3 | 34.44 | 1,000,000 | 1.50 | 67,553 | 13,906 | 1,041 | 40 | 24,999.00 |
| Lamar County | 5 – AA | 5-4 | 36.45 | 965,371 | 1.37 | 42,405 | 2,368 | 682 | 35 | 28,570.43 |
| Screven County | 4 – AA | 8-1 | 30.66 | 1,000,000 | 1.80 | 198,431 | 37,749 | 1,273 | 33 | 30,302.03 |
| Douglass | 6 – AA | 6-3 | 31.70 | 1,000,000 | 1.90 | 124,514 | 9,788 | 239 | 14 | 71,427.57 |
| Southwest | 3 – AA | 5-4 | 35.28 | 1,000,000 | 1.33 | 23,882 | 6,306 | 213 | 14 | 71,427.57 |
| K.I.P.P. Atlanta Collegiate | 6 – AA | 7-2 | 28.68 | 1,000,000 | 1.62 | 85,726 | 17,776 | 611 | 10 | 99,999.00 |
| Elbert County | 8 – AA | 6-2-1 | 32.06 | 1,000,000 | 1.61 | 18,092 | 2,155 | 131 | 10 | 99,999.00 |
| Heard County | 5 – AA | 6-3 | 32.52 | 1,000,000 | 1.25 | 34,761 | 3,086 | 220 | 6 | 166,665.67 |
| Dublin | 3 – AA | 7-2 | 30.68 | 1,000,000 | 1.05 | 11,994 | 598 | 136 | 4 | 249,999.00 |
| Dodge County | 3 – AA | 5-5 | 32.58 | 1,000,000 | 1.22 | 35,395 | 804 | 65 | 4 | 249,999.00 |
| Berrien | 1 – AA | 4-4 | 22.58 | 1,000,000 | 1.11 | 10,248 | 1,783 | 28 | – | – |
| Laney | 4 – AA | 4-5 | 24.11 | 1,000,000 | 1.13 | 2,861 | 129 | 14 | – | – |
| Swainsboro | 2 – AA | 3-6 | 17.80 | 949,193 | 1.03 | 11,498 | 479 | 3 | – | – |
| B.E.S.T. Academy | 6 – AA | 2-8 | 21.44 | 507,623 | 0.51 | 925 | 31 | 2 | – | – |
| Washington | 6 – AA | 3-6 | 19.06 | 451,381 | 0.46 | 486 | 10 | 2 | – | – |
| Monticello | 8 – AA | 3-6 | 10.23 | 1,000,000 | 1.06 | 4,755 | 160 | 1 | – | – |
| Banks County | 8 – AA | 5-4 | 14.24 | 1,000,000 | 1.13 | 5,151 | 86 | – | – | – |
| Bryan County | 2 – AA | 3-5 | 12.01 | 50,807 | 0.05 | 171 | 2 | – | – | – |
| Therrell | 6 – AA | 3-6 | 19.28 | 40,996 | 0.04 | 52 | 2 | – | – | – |
| Temple | 5 – AA | 6-3 | 17.33 | 34,629 | 0.04 | 89 | – | – | – | – |
| Josey | 4 – AA | 4-5 | 5.34 | 639,363 | 0.64 | 56 | – | – | – | – |
| Glenn Hills | 4 – AA | 3-6 | 0.18 | 360,637 | 0.36 | 10 | – | – | – | – |
| Early County | 1 – AA | 0-8-1 | 17.43 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| South Atlanta | 6 – AA | 3-7 | 15.68 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Coosa | 7 – AA | 3-6 | 13.88 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Northeast | 3 – AA | 1-8 | 13.29 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Albany | 1 – AA | 0-9 | 10.21 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Metter | 2 – AA | 2-6 | 10.05 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Bacon County | 2 – AA | 1-7 | 9.69 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Jeff Davis | 2 – AA | 2-6 | 9.30 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Dade County | 7 – AA | 2-6 | 5.52 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Putnam County | 8 – AA | 1-8 | 4.73 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Jordan | 5 – AA | 0-9 | 3.42 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Bleckley County | 3 – AA | 2-7 | 3.07 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| East Laurens | 3 – AA | 1-8 | 3.07 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Butler | 4 – AA | 3-6 | 2.06 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Harlem | 4 – AA | 2-7 | 1.20 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Armuchee | 7 – AA | 2-7 | -5.15 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Social Circle | 8 – AA | 2-7 | -5.82 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Westside (Augusta) | 4 – AA | 1-8 | -13.92 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Oglethorpe County | 8 – AA | 0-9 | -17.32 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Gordon Central | 7 – AA | 0-9 | -26.16 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Playoff Seeding Projections
Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.
| Region | Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 – AA | Fitzgerald | 904,673 | 95,327 | – | – | – |
| 1 – AA | Thomasville | 95,327 | 904,673 | – | – | – |
| 1 – AA | Brooks County | – | – | 932,754 | 67,246 | – |
| 1 – AA | Berrien | – | – | 67,246 | 932,754 | – |
| 1 – AA | Albany | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 1 – AA | Early County | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 2 – AA | Benedictine | 1,000,000 | – | – | – | – |
| 2 – AA | Vidalia | – | 1,000,000 | – | – | – |
| 2 – AA | Toombs County | – | – | 805,494 | 194,506 | – |
| 2 – AA | Swainsboro | – | – | 194,506 | 754,687 | 50,807 |
| 2 – AA | Bryan County | – | – | – | 50,807 | 949,193 |
| 2 – AA | Jeff Davis | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 2 – AA | Bacon County | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 2 – AA | Metter | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 3 – AA | Washington County | 1,000,000 | – | – | – | – |
| 3 – AA | Southwest | – | 1,000,000 | – | – | – |
| 3 – AA | Dodge County | – | – | 1,000,000 | – | – |
| 3 – AA | Dublin | – | – | – | 1,000,000 | – |
| 3 – AA | Bleckley County | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 3 – AA | East Laurens | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 3 – AA | Northeast | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 4 – AA | Jefferson County | 894,030 | 105,970 | – | – | – |
| 4 – AA | Screven County | 105,970 | 894,030 | – | – | – |
| 4 – AA | Laney | – | – | 888,273 | 111,727 | – |
| 4 – AA | Josey | – | – | 111,727 | 527,636 | 360,637 |
| 4 – AA | Glenn Hills | – | – | – | 360,637 | 639,363 |
| 4 – AA | Harlem | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 4 – AA | Butler | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 4 – AA | Westside (Augusta) | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 5 – AA | Callaway | 1,000,000 | – | – | – | – |
| 5 – AA | Spencer | – | 945,843 | 54,157 | – | – |
| 5 – AA | Lamar County | – | – | 702,761 | 262,610 | 34,629 |
| 5 – AA | Heard County | – | 54,157 | 243,082 | 702,761 | – |
| 5 – AA | Temple | – | – | – | 34,629 | 965,371 |
| 5 – AA | Jordan | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 6 – AA | Hapeville Charter | 789,627 | 210,373 | – | – | – |
| 6 – AA | Douglass | – | 789,627 | 210,373 | – | – |
| 6 – AA | K.I.P.P. Atlanta Collegiate | 210,373 | – | 789,627 | – | – |
| 6 – AA | B.E.S.T. Academy | – | – | – | 507,623 | 492,377 |
| 6 – AA | Washington | – | – | – | 451,381 | 548,619 |
| 6 – AA | Therrell | – | – | – | 40,996 | 959,004 |
| 6 – AA | South Atlanta | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 7 – AA | Pepperell | 903,276 | 94,674 | 2,050 | – | – |
| 7 – AA | Chattooga | 96,724 | 524,683 | 378,593 | – | – |
| 7 – AA | Rockmart | – | 362,587 | 365,681 | 271,732 | – |
| 7 – AA | Model | – | 18,056 | 253,676 | 728,268 | – |
| 7 – AA | Coosa | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 7 – AA | Armuchee | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 7 – AA | Dade County | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 7 – AA | Gordon Central | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 8 – AA | Rabun County | 1,000,000 | – | – | – | – |
| 8 – AA | Elbert County | – | 878,134 | 121,866 | – | – |
| 8 – AA | Banks County | – | 121,866 | 878,134 | – | – |
| 8 – AA | Monticello | – | – | – | 1,000,000 | – |
| 8 – AA | Putnam County | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 8 – AA | Oglethorpe County | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 8 – AA | Social Circle | – | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
Modal Bracket
Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Record | Rating | Playoffs | Avg Depth | Qtrfinals | Semifinals | Finals | Champion | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macon County | 4 – A | 7-2 | 55.88 | 1,000,000 | 864,732 | 682,898 | 494,877 | 343,269 | 1.91 | |
| Manchester | 4 – A | 9-0 | 53.70 | 1,000,000 | 803,411 | 602,850 | 385,410 | 237,135 | 3.22 | |
| Clinch County | 2 – A | 8-1 | 50.30 | 1,000,000 | 840,695 | 562,973 | 391,351 | 186,778 | 4.35 | |
| Mount Zion (Carroll) | 6 – A | 9-0 | 47.94 | 1,000,000 | 755,400 | 431,166 | 241,740 | 104,337 | 8.58 | |
| Twiggs County | 7 – A | 7-2 | 44.77 | 1,000,000 | 467,353 | 242,086 | 99,698 | 35,842 | 26.90 | |
| Emanuel County Institute | 3 – A | 8-0 | 39.74 | 1,000,000 | 640,587 | 288,629 | 83,072 | 23,382 | 41.77 | |
| McIntosh County Academy | 3 – A | 6-2 | 39.31 | 1,000,000 | 566,662 | 224,563 | 74,214 | 18,451 | 53.20 | |
| Taylor County | 4 – A | 8-1 | 41.83 | 1,000,000 | 379,419 | 170,166 | 59,813 | 17,188 | 57.18 | |
| Commerce | 8 – A | 7-2 | 38.26 | 1,000,000 | 472,153 | 196,648 | 58,130 | 13,210 | 74.70 | |
| Irwin County | 2 – A | 6-3 | 40.46 | 1,000,000 | 257,758 | 102,890 | 30,309 | 8,808 | 112.53 | |
| Mitchell County | 1 – A | 8-1 | 31.76 | 1,000,000 | 341,362 | 103,781 | 18,355 | 2,402 | 415.32 | |
| Bowdon | 6 – A | 6-3 | 35.79 | 1,000,000 | 142,939 | 43,737 | 9,981 | 1,919 | 520.10 | |
| Pelham | 1 – A | 8-1 | 29.82 | 1,000,000 | 295,104 | 78,688 | 11,806 | 1,410 | 708.22 | |
| Washington-Wilkes | 7 – A | 4-5 | 33.11 | 998,238 | 162,442 | 41,607 | 8,631 | 1,302 | 767.05 | |
| Turner County | 2 – A | 6-3 | 33.52 | 1,000,000 | 139,171 | 39,241 | 6,691 | 1,193 | 837.22 | |
| Dooly County | 4 – A | 5-4 | 34.61 | 1,000,000 | 111,389 | 30,176 | 6,293 | 1,160 | 861.07 | |
| Greene County | 7 – A | 6-3 | 32.32 | 1,000,000 | 105,595 | 28,796 | 5,082 | 766 | 1,304.48 | |
| Miller County | 1 – A | 7-2 | 27.78 | 1,000,000 | 216,646 | 45,003 | 5,109 | 495 | 2,019.20 | |
| Lincoln County | 7 – A | 5-3-1 | 30.81 | 1,000,000 | 81,805 | 20,765 | 3,071 | 418 | 2,391.34 | |
| Randolph-Clay | 1 – A | 7-2 | 24.43 | 1,000,000 | 168,773 | 27,676 | 2,396 | 201 | 4,974.12 | |
| Marion County | 4 – A | 7-2 | 27.91 | 1,000,000 | 57,553 | 13,433 | 1,699 | 153 | 6,534.95 | |
| Telfair County | 2 – A | 5-3 | 26.99 | 1,000,000 | 61,974 | 11,276 | 1,332 | 117 | 8,546.01 | |
| Terrell County | 1 – A | 6-3 | 24.09 | 1,000,000 | 46,376 | 8,013 | 719 | 46 | 21,738.13 | |
| Trion | 6 – A | 5-4 | 24.93 | 252,199 | 17,876 | 2,797 | 219 | 18 | 55,554.56 | |
| Seminole County | 1 – A | 4-4-1 | 15.02 | 233,975 | 1,702 | 115 | 2 | – | – | |
| Jenkins County | 3 – A | 4-4 | 3.97 | 498,141 | 1,083 | 23 | – | – | – | |
| Johnson County | 3 – A | 4-5 | 5.90 | 17,395 | 40 | 4 | – | – | – | |
| Treutlen | 3 – A | 5-4 | 9.56 | 52 | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Warren County | 7 – A | 4-5 | 21.86 | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Charlton County | 2 – A | 2-6 | 18.90 | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Crawford County | 4 – A | 4-4 | 15.39 | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Gordon Lee | 6 – A | 4-4 | 14.97 | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Hancock Central | 7 – A | 3-6 | 13.84 | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Atkinson County | 2 – A | 2-7 | 12.98 | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Hawkinsville | 4 – A | 3-6 | 11.71 | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Wheeler County | 3 – A | 6-3 | 8.56 | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Wilkinson County | 7 – A | 1-8 | 7.63 | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Schley County | 4 – A | 3-6 | 7.29 | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Towns County | 8 – A | 2-7 | 5.35 | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Montgomery County | 3 – A | 3-6 | 5.34 | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Chattahoochee County | 1 – A | 2-7 | 4.77 | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Wilcox County | 2 – A | 1-8 | 0.73 | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Lanier County | 2 – A | 1-8 | -2.55 | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Calhoun County | 1 – A | 1-8 | -6.03 | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Claxton | 3 – A | 0-8 | -6.22 | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Portal | 3 – A | 0-8 | -9.04 | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Greenville | 4 – A | 1-8 | -10.75 | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Central (Talbotton) | 4 – A | 1-8 | -13.00 | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Stewart County | 1 – A | 2-7 | -14.25 | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Baconton Charter | 1 – A | 1-8 | -21.46 | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Fulton Leadership Academy | 5 – A | 0-9 | -25.39 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Playoff Seeding Projections
Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.
| Region | Team | Reg Chmp | Seed 1 – 8 | Seed 9 – 24 | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 – A | Mitchell County | 529,237 | 968,276 | 31,724 | – |
| 1 – A | Miller County | 147 | 693,928 | 306,072 | – |
| 1 – A | Pelham | 470,409 | 643,773 | 356,227 | – |
| 1 – A | Randolph-Clay | 153 | 164,889 | 835,111 | – |
| 1 – A | Terrell County | 54 | 139,102 | 860,861 | 37 |
| 1 – A | Seminole County | – | – | 395,999 | 604,001 |
| 1 – A | Calhoun County | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 1 – A | Chattahoochee County | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 1 – A | Stewart County | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 1 – A | Baconton Charter | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 2 – A | Clinch County | 996,610 | 996,612 | 3,388 | – |
| 2 – A | Irwin County | 2,254 | 14,147 | 985,826 | 27 |
| 2 – A | Turner County | 1,136 | 1,337 | 997,802 | 861 |
| 2 – A | Telfair County | – | 12 | 998,099 | 1,889 |
| 2 – A | Atkinson County | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 2 – A | Charlton County | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 2 – A | Lanier County | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 2 – A | Wilcox County | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 3 – A | Emanuel County Institute | 737,892 | 999,206 | 794 | – |
| 3 – A | McIntosh County Academy | 7,921 | 982,130 | 17,870 | – |
| 3 – A | Jenkins County | – | – | 978,905 | 21,095 |
| 3 – A | Johnson County | – | – | 484,273 | 515,727 |
| 3 – A | Treutlen | – | – | 369,726 | 630,274 |
| 3 – A | Claxton | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 3 – A | Montgomery County | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 3 – A | Portal | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 3 – A | Wheeler County | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 4 – A | Macon County | 621,100 | 621,100 | 378,900 | – |
| 4 – A | Manchester | 378,900 | 378,900 | 621,100 | – |
| 4 – A | Taylor County | – | – | 1,000,000 | – |
| 4 – A | Marion County | – | – | 653,387 | 346,613 |
| 4 – A | Dooly County | – | – | 62,554 | 937,446 |
| 4 – A | Central (Talbotton) | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 4 – A | Crawford County | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 4 – A | Greenville | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 4 – A | Hawkinsville | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 4 – A | Schley County | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 5 – A | Fulton Leadership Academy | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 6 – A | Mount Zion (Carroll) | 449,855 | 900,386 | 99,614 | – |
| 6 – A | Bowdon | – | – | 999,646 | 354 |
| 6 – A | Gordon Lee | – | – | 474,361 | 525,639 |
| 6 – A | Trion | – | – | 273,583 | 726,417 |
| 7 – A | Twiggs County | 184,262 | 192,456 | 807,544 | – |
| 7 – A | Lincoln County | 61,904 | 61,980 | 938,020 | – |
| 7 – A | Greene County | – | – | 999,999 | 1 |
| 7 – A | Warren County | – | – | 210,641 | 789,359 |
| 7 – A | Washington-Wilkes | 52,362 | 52,362 | 47,378 | 900,260 |
| 7 – A | Hancock Central | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 7 – A | Wilkinson County | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
| 8 – A | Commerce | – | 189,404 | 810,596 | – |
| 8 – A | Towns County | – | – | – | 1,000,000 |
Modal Bracket
Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Record | Rating | Playoffs | Avg Depth | Qtrfinals | Semifinals | Finals | Champion | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagle’s Landing Christian | 5 – A | 9-0 | 57.32 | 1,000,000 | 904,258 | 682,405 | 472,588 | 331,149 | 2.02 | |
| Fellowship Christian | 6 – A | 9-0 | 53.08 | 1,000,000 | 847,894 | 488,272 | 261,147 | 148,853 | 5.72 | |
| Tattnall Square | 7 – A | 9-0 | 52.48 | 1,000,000 | 857,087 | 455,409 | 228,153 | 130,003 | 6.69 | |
| Prince Avenue Christian | 8 – A | 9-0 | 49.43 | 1,000,000 | 837,476 | 546,130 | 285,599 | 115,851 | 7.63 | |
| Landmark Christian | 5 – A | 9-0 | 49.65 | 1,000,000 | 845,016 | 483,062 | 236,711 | 101,068 | 8.89 | |
| Calvary Day | 3 – A | 8-0 | 48.34 | 1,000,000 | 835,390 | 456,749 | 231,823 | 85,090 | 10.75 | |
| Wesleyan | 5 – A | 7-2 | 46.50 | 1,000,000 | 745,085 | 322,313 | 130,529 | 43,480 | 22.00 | |
| Mount Paran Christian | 6 – A | 8-1 | 46.57 | 1,000,000 | 534,289 | 205,705 | 76,149 | 28,159 | 34.51 | |
| Darlington | 6 – A | 7-2 | 42.80 | 1,000,000 | 284,248 | 97,402 | 30,800 | 8,490 | 116.79 | |
| Stratford Academy | 7 – A | 6-3 | 39.92 | 1,000,000 | 148,769 | 52,416 | 11,578 | 2,973 | 335.36 | |
| Athens Academy | 8 – A | 8-1 | 34.80 | 1,000,000 | 424,419 | 81,798 | 14,798 | 2,144 | 465.42 | |
| Pinecrest Academy | 6 – A | 6-3 | 36.45 | 1,000,000 | 161,959 | 39,686 | 8,535 | 1,365 | 731.60 | |
| Aquinas | 7 – A | 6-3 | 33.40 | 1,000,000 | 103,701 | 22,554 | 3,695 | 457 | 2,187.18 | |
| George Walton Academy | 8 – A | 7-2 | 32.39 | 1,000,000 | 148,644 | 21,475 | 2,624 | 381 | 2,623.67 | |
| First Presbyterian | 7 – A | 6-3 | 31.95 | 1,000,000 | 49,103 | 9,180 | 1,322 | 150 | 6,665.67 | |
| Athens Christian | 8 – A | 6-3 | 30.76 | 1,000,000 | 66,115 | 10,502 | 1,256 | 141 | 7,091.20 | |
| Savannah Christian | 3 – A | 6-2 | 28.23 | 1,000,000 | 110,067 | 14,455 | 1,550 | 133 | 7,517.80 | |
| Mount Pisgah Christian | 6 – A | 5-3 | 31.66 | 1,000,000 | 44,620 | 6,743 | 877 | 100 | 9,999.00 | |
| Holy Innocents | 5 – A | 4-5 | 24.74 | 1,000,000 | 19,757 | 1,788 | 163 | 9 | 111,110.11 | |
| Mount Vernon Presbyterian | 5 – A | 5-4 | 21.80 | 1,000,000 | 11,505 | 895 | 56 | 4 | 249,999.00 | |
| Hebron Christian Academy | 8 – A | 5-4 | 20.21 | 1,000,000 | 9,687 | 622 | 33 | – | – | |
| Our Lady of Mercy | 5 – A | 3-6 | 16.65 | 1,000,000 | 6,287 | 292 | 8 | – | – | |
| Savannah Country Day | 3 – A | 5-3 | 14.70 | 1,000,000 | 3,034 | 117 | 6 | – | – | |
| Walker | 6 – A | 3-6 | 14.35 | 150,410 | 602 | 14 | – | – | – | |
| Lakeview Academy | 8 – A | 2-7 | 7.11 | 545,482 | 521 | 8 | – | – | – | |
| Brookstone | 4 – A | 4-5 | 15.19 | 77,588 | 324 | 7 | – | – | – | |
| Strong Rock Christian | 5 – A | 3-6 | 5.01 | 167,371 | 103 | 1 | – | – | – | |
| Mount de Sales | 7 – A | 2-7 | 6.01 | 59,149 | 40 | – | – | – | – | |
| Riverside Military Academy | 8 – A | 2-7 | 2.96 | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| King’s Ridge Christian | 6 – A | 3-6 | 0.20 | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Christian Heritage | 6 – A | 1-8 | -3.38 | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Providence Christian | 8 – A | 1-8 | -5.20 | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Whitefield Academy | 6 – A | 2-7 | -7.25 | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| St. Francis | 6 – A | 1-8 | -14.88 | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Pacelli | 4 – A | 1-8 | -15.88 | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| North Cobb Christian | 6 – A | 0-9 | -16.41 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Playoff Seeding Projections
Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.
| Region | Team | Reg Chmp | Seed 1 – 8 | Seed 9 – 24 | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 – A | Calvary Day | 2,480 | 9,068 | 932 | – |
| 3 – A | Savannah Christian | – | 1,747 | 8,253 | – |
| 3 – A | Savannah Country Day | – | – | 10,000 | – |
| 4 – A | Brookstone | – | – | 7,522 | 2,478 |
| 4 – A | Pacelli | – | – | – | 10,000 |
| 5 – A | Eagle’s Landing Christian | 6,059 | 9,999 | 1 | – |
| 5 – A | Landmark Christian | 3,941 | 9,917 | 83 | – |
| 5 – A | Wesleyan | – | 9,913 | 87 | – |
| 5 – A | Mount Vernon Presbyterian | – | – | 10,000 | – |
| 5 – A | Holy Innocents | – | – | 9,999 | 1 |
| 5 – A | Our Lady of Mercy | – | – | 9,670 | 330 |
| 5 – A | Strong Rock Christian | – | – | 1,499 | 8,501 |
| 6 – A | Fellowship Christian | 5,412 | 8,876 | 1,124 | – |
| 6 – A | Mount Paran Christian | – | 1,118 | 8,882 | – |
| 6 – A | Darlington | – | 277 | 9,723 | – |
| 6 – A | Mount Pisgah Christian | – | – | 10,000 | – |
| 6 – A | Pinecrest Academy | – | – | 10,000 | – |
| 6 – A | Walker | – | – | 1,166 | 8,834 |
| 6 – A | Whitefield Academy | – | – | 98 | 9,902 |
| 6 – A | King’s Ridge Christian | – | – | 14 | 9,986 |
| 6 – A | Christian Heritage | – | – | – | 10,000 |
| 6 – A | North Cobb Christian | – | – | – | 10,000 |
| 6 – A | St. Francis | – | – | – | 10,000 |
| 7 – A | Tattnall Square | 6,813 | 7,130 | 2,870 | – |
| 7 – A | Aquinas | 151 | 151 | 9,849 | – |
| 7 – A | Stratford Academy | 28 | 76 | 9,924 | – |
| 7 – A | First Presbyterian | – | – | 10,000 | – |
| 7 – A | Mount de Sales | – | – | 28 | 9,972 |
| 8 – A | Prince Avenue Christian | 7,548 | 9,999 | 1 | – |
| 8 – A | Athens Academy | 2,452 | 9,772 | 228 | – |
| 8 – A | George Walton Academy | – | 1,955 | 8,045 | – |
| 8 – A | Hebron Christian Academy | – | 1 | 9,999 | – |
| 8 – A | Athens Christian | – | 1 | 9,999 | – |
| 8 – A | Riverside Military Academy | – | – | 4 | 9,996 |
| 8 – A | Lakeview Academy | – | – | – | 10,000 |
| 8 – A | Providence Christian | – | – | – | 10,000 |
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